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Obama Adviser Sees Limited Future Impact of Stimulus (unemployment will exceed 10% in 2010)
New York Times ^ | October 22, 2009 | Edmund L. Andrews

Posted on 10/22/2009 2:19:13 PM PDT by reaganaut1

One of President Obama’s top economic advisers warned on Thursday that the nation’s unemployment is likely to climb above 10 percent by the middle of next year and that job growth will remain anemic through the end of 2010.

“Unemployment is likely to remain at its severely elevated level” through the end of next year, predicted Christina Romer, chair of the White House Council of Economic Advisors, at a hearing of the Joint Economic Committee of Congress.

Ms. Romer said she agreed with private sector forecasters who expect that the economy will expand at a moderate pace through the end of next year as it slowly recovers from its deep recession.

But she cautioned that unemployment usually recovers much more slowly than economic growth, and that the job creation has to make up for a great deal of lost ground from the last two years.

And she warned that the rebound in jobs could actually be even slower than what White House officials and private forecasters are predicting. That was a sharp contrast to the Obama administration’s forecast at the start of the year, which predicted that unemployment would not climb much above 8 percent and was widely criticized as unrealistic and too optimistic.

Ms. Romer noted that the Blue Chip survey of economic forecasters calls for unemployment to peak at 10.1 percent in the second quarter of 2010, up from 9.8 percent last month, and to be at 9.6 percent at the end of next year.

Though Ms. Romer said economic conditions have improved dramatically in the last six months, and that the $787 billion stimulus program had contributed to that improvement, she said the rebound in jobs could actually be even slower than what White House officials currently expect.

(Excerpt) Read more at nytimes.com ...


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Front Page News; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: christinaromer; fail; jobless; porkulus; romer; stimulus; unemployment
If even if the Obama Administration admits the stimulus will not work, why not cancel it and use some of the money to cut payroll taxes and the rest to reduce the gigantic deficit?
1 posted on 10/22/2009 2:19:14 PM PDT by reaganaut1
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To: reaganaut1

Say goodbye to the Democrat party held Congress.


2 posted on 10/22/2009 2:21:10 PM PDT by Red Steel
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To: Red Steel

Everyone I talk to sees a lot of unemployment coming out of the US Congress. Hey RATs, start cleaning out and shredding documents now.


3 posted on 10/22/2009 2:22:29 PM PDT by ExTexasRedhead
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To: Red Steel

2010’s gona be a ‘beaut !


4 posted on 10/22/2009 2:22:31 PM PDT by Eric in the Ozarks
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To: reaganaut1

If they are admitting to north of 10% now, right in the middle of the health care debate...they probably believe it will be higher...like 12% or worse.


5 posted on 10/22/2009 2:22:41 PM PDT by Tulane
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To: reaganaut1

I don’t know whether to laugh or cry.


6 posted on 10/22/2009 2:24:06 PM PDT by La Lydia
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To: reaganaut1
Not true! the Bling shops along the MLK Blvd across the land will be doing a landslide business.
7 posted on 10/22/2009 2:24:47 PM PDT by Cheetahcat (Zero the Wright kind of Racist! We are in a state of War with Democrats)
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To: reaganaut1

Obama is shedding 1/2 million jobs per month. In the old days he would have been branded a loser.


8 posted on 10/22/2009 2:37:10 PM PDT by avacado
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To: Tulane

“Ms. Romer noted that the Blue Chip survey of economic forecasters calls for unemployment to peak at 10.1 percent in the second quarter of 2010, up from 9.8 percent last month, and to be at 9.6 percent at the end of next year.”

I thought we were at 10% now.
How do they come up with these figures?
One pointed hat and a crystal ball?


9 posted on 10/22/2009 2:40:25 PM PDT by AlexW (Now in the Philippines . Happy not to be back in the USA for now.)
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To: reaganaut1

Longest recession in modern history: 0bummer’s.


10 posted on 10/22/2009 2:43:58 PM PDT by Uncle Miltie (President Obama got the Nobel Prize and my ass is still sitting in Afghanistan. Its not fair. - G.I.)
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To: reaganaut1

Isn’t it already over 10%? Here in Mi it certainly is (around 15%) . Remember when it was 4% under W and the libs and dems threw a fit?


11 posted on 10/22/2009 2:44:38 PM PDT by ElayneJ
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To: reaganaut1

This obozo mouthpiece was quoted in an AP story saying that the “stimulus had already saved 600,000 to 1.5 million jobs.”

PROVE IT YOU LIAR!

I remember when George Bush was president, people had jobs, and we were respected in the world because WE WERE FEARED.

Now we are just afraid of what has happened to our country.


12 posted on 10/22/2009 2:51:36 PM PDT by 43north (11.04.08: the day America committed voluntary suicide)
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To: Tulane

“If they are admitting to north of 10% now, right in the middle of the health care debate...they probably believe it will be higher...like 12% or worse.”

In April I bet a friend that, if Obamacare and Cap & Trade get passed, unemployment would be 12% by the elections of 2010.


13 posted on 10/22/2009 3:05:07 PM PDT by AlphaOneAlpha
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To: reaganaut1

It was never a stimulus. Please, why do they insult our intelligence. It was their liberal wish list and pay to play list 20 years in the making. They just needed someone weak enough and stupid enough to pass it for them.


14 posted on 10/22/2009 4:18:43 PM PDT by mojitojoe (“Medicine is the keystone of the arch of socialism.” - Vladimir Lenin)
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To: reaganaut1
Though Ms. Romer said economic conditions have improved dramatically in the last six months, and that the $787 billion stimulus program had contributed to that improvement,

Testing an old theory of Hitler and Stalin: If you tell a lie often enough, people will believe it.

Let's see if it works this time, with more and more people losing their jobs.

15 posted on 10/22/2009 4:33:25 PM PDT by Rocky (OBAMA: Succeeding where bin Laden failed.)
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To: reaganaut1

Pelosi, Reid, and BHO, if you want to see job growth in the private sector, what you need to do is fundamentally change your stunningly disrespectful attitude towards business people and start to listen carefully to business people and fully consider their viewpoint. You need to drop this outrageous cap and tax plan, which is based on totally outdated and discredited science (absolutely not the best science available as the EPA said in it’s latest lies). If you want to understand the latest science and why global warming is a complete hoax pushed by supporters of global income redistribution and global government, start right here at FR by reading, respecting, and fully considering the threads under the globalwarming keyword.

I have some news for you democrat leaders: except for a few very liberal companies on the west coast, the business community now despises the democrat party and this administration and business people are going to only hire people they absolutely have to hire between now and the 2012 election, because they want high unemployment to hurt congressional democrats and BHO in the 2010 and 2012 elections. Republican business people are calm, professional people who don’t make a lot of noise. They are the backbone of this nation’s economy, and they’re very smart and certainly bright enough to figure out how to sabotage the democrats in 2010 and 2012. Unless there is a major change in attitude by the democrats and some major policy changes, business people nationwide are going to cause crushing defeats at the polls for democrats in 2010 and 2012. Mark my words, unless there is a major change in attitude and policy by democrats and the White House, you’re not going to see any significant job growth ALL the way into 2012. This will be the most jobless recovery in history by far without that major attitude adjustment and policy change.


16 posted on 10/22/2009 6:14:30 PM PDT by your local physicist (Gridlock is good...in Washington.)
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To: your local physicist

Republican business people are calm, professional people who don’t make a lot of noise. They are the backbone of this nation’s economy, and they’re very smart and certainly bright enough to figure out how to sabotage the democrats in 2010 and 2012. “”

Yeah well too bad they weren’t smart enough to keep this fool from being elected in 2008 ............


17 posted on 10/22/2009 7:22:38 PM PDT by DontTreadOnMe2009 (So stop treading on me already!)
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