Scozzafava Neutral By Design, RNC Backs Hoffman (More Info)

NY Daily News ^ | 10/31/2009 | Elizabeth Benjamin

[IllumiNaughtyByNature]

Assemblywoman Dede Scozzafava's decision not to endorse either of her opponents after suspending her bid for ex-Rep. John McHugh's seat was a tactical move made in concert with Conservative candidate Doug Hoffman's campaign, a source close to Scozzafava confirmed.

snip

[IllumiNaughtyByNature]

There was some concern that supporters of Scozzafava's more moderate brand of Republicanism would be so turned off if she publicly announced an endorsement of the man who has been hammering her as a Pelosi-esque liberal that it would them into the arms of Democratic nominee Bill Owens.

This seems at odds with the fact that Hoffman has embraced the endorsement of another well-known moderate New York Republican, former Gov. George Pataki, who is stumping with Hoffman this afternoon.

But state Conservative Party Chairman Mike Long told me last week that Pataki, who owns a farm in Essex County, still polls very high in NY-23, with low negatives. Scozzafava, on the other hand, has high negatives among likely voters, according to today's Siena poll.

Undoubtedly, some hard-core Scozzafava backers will remain in her camp no matter what and vote for her regardless of her decision. These people would probably vote for Owens and not Hoffman if she wasn't still on the ballot, so that could hurt the Democrats.

Read more at link

[Man50D]

The OP(Formerly the GOP) is trying to hijack the Conservative movement because they have no core principles. They are desperate.

[mmichaels1970]

There was some concern that supporters of Scozzafava's more moderate brand of Republicanism would be so turned off if she publicly announced an endorsement of the man who has been hammering her as a Pelosi-esque liberal that it would them into the arms of Democratic nominee Bill Owens.

Makes sense to me! Thanks.

[freekitty]

DeDe was never a real Republican or RINO. She is and always be a lefty. Shame on the Republicans for trying to run her. She stands for nothing this country truly believes in.

[Bellflower]

The OP(Formerly the GOP)

Yep, just the old party and tired, which needs a real and deep revival! May God grant it!

[LiberConservative]

GOP = Gutless Old Party

[Peacekeeper357]

Another RINO bits the dust.

[Combat_Liberalism]

Hoffman now wins this race going away.

[kittykat77]

Hoffman has embraced the endorsement of another well-known moderate New York Republican, former Gov. George Pataki, who is stumping with Hoffman this afternoon.

OMG! -- who let that stoner Pataki in?! Keep him away from Hoffman, PLEASE!

[seton89]

http://publicpolicypolling.blogspot.com/2009/10/ny-23-polling-odyssey.html

WHICH RACE ARE YOU MOST INTERESTED IN?

Chapel Hill

  24 (2%)
 
Charlotte
  19 (1%)
 
Maine
  151 (14%)
 
New Jersey
  282 (26%)
 
NY-23
  473 (44%)
 
Virginia
  111 (10%)
 

Change your vote
Votes so far: 1060
Hours left to vote: 19

SATURDAY, OCTOBER 31, 2009
NY-23 Polling Odyssey

So this morning around 10 AM I started up our NY-23 poll and after a few hundred interviews it appeared that Doug Hoffman was now running away with it-unweighted numbers showed him at 45% to 26% for Bill Owens and 17% for Dede Scozzafava.

Then came the news that Scozzafava was suspending her campaign. My first inclination was to just keep running the poll as is, but I stopped it and thought about it, and now for the rest of the weekend the first question will still provide Scozzafava as an option but also note that she’s suspended her campaign, although her name will still be on the ballot.

I’m not going to throw away the first set of interviews, but we’ll provide a crosstab for when people got surveyed. I expect Hoffman will win easily now, but if our early numbers were any indication what Scozzafava did doesn’t make much difference- he was going to win easily with or without her in the race.

I should also note that the poll included two way races between all three of the candidates as well so we will have full straight up Owens-Hoffman data for whatever that’s worth.

More excitement so far today than I might have been anticipating!

POSTED BY TOM JENSEN AT 12:22 PM

[EternalVigilance]

what Scozzafava did doesn’t make much difference- he was going to win easily with or without her in the race.

Yep.

[seton89]

FWIW, my (wishful) prediction-

H 53%
O 36%
S 11%

[EternalVigilance]

I think that’s a pretty good guess.

I don’t think it’s overly optimistic. Doug could do even better than that.

[seton89]

I used to spend a fair amount of time in Oswego Co and the Tug Hill Plateau area. To the residents, a dem = gun confiscation.

[EternalVigilance]

Smart folks.

[TurtleUp]

Yep, just the old party and tired, which needs a real and deep revival! May God grant it!

I have faith that God will send us the opportunity to choose a more energetic leader, one who loves the freedom God gave us and has the energy to inspire the entire country.

We have to recognize and accept that gift from God. Unfortunately, I have far less faith in my fellow voters (living and dead) than I have in God's boundless generosity.

[IllumiNaughtyByNature]

thanks for the link and the poll.