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NJ Governor Race: Christie, Corzine neck and neck as Daggett fades
Monmouth University Polling Institute ^ | November 1, 2009 | By Patrick Murray

Posted on 11/01/2009 5:29:37 AM PST by MaestroLC

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I think Corzine is in serious trouble. I think the Obama campaign appearances has a good possibility of backfiring and turning out more GOP voters on Tuesday in NJ.

*****

Here are the internals:

The telephone interviews were collected on October 28-30, 2009 with a statewide random sample of 1,041 likely voters.

40% = Dem | 34% = Ind | 26% = Rep

1 posted on 11/01/2009 5:29:37 AM PST by MaestroLC
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To: MaestroLC
What I haven't been able to get a good read on is which way Daggett voters are breaking (as he starts to spiral down the drain). It seems like they are not leaning hard one way or the other.

What do you think?

2 posted on 11/01/2009 5:34:46 AM PST by lt.america (wearing my Brooks Brothers shirt proudly)
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To: MaestroLC

If the Republican was actually a conservative he’d be walking away with this.


3 posted on 11/01/2009 5:37:04 AM PST by EternalVigilance (We're winning.)
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To: MaestroLC

How much, if anything, did his aide getting busted for Ecstasy pills for sale have any emotional impact on the voters,? It just speaks to corruption in a very general way...it is not a big deal overall, but still, it may make some voters be reminded of corruption in general.


4 posted on 11/01/2009 5:37:56 AM PST by Recovering Ex-hippie (Pray for Israel! And Georgia ! And the Iranian people! and Honduras!)
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To: MaestroLC

With all the corruption in NJ politics, there are probably lots of people worried about what might happen to them with a Republican as Governor. Democrats generally protect their own, and I would look for a lot of people to ‘pull out all stops’ to stop Christie from winning (i.e. vote fraud etc.).


5 posted on 11/01/2009 5:39:24 AM PST by pieceofthepuzzle
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To: MaestroLC

Do the dead vote in NJ ?


6 posted on 11/01/2009 5:39:39 AM PST by reefdiver (So how's that HOPE & CHANGE working out for ya ?)
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To: lt.america
What I haven't been able to get a good read on is which way Daggett voters are breaking (as he starts to spiral down the drain). It seems like they are not leaning hard one way or the other. What do you think?

Since the article states that Daggett supporters now see him as being a spoiler by a significant margin, it can be reasonable to say that they are breaking for Christie. We may have a better read on this point on Monday when final polls are released and analyzed.

7 posted on 11/01/2009 5:40:37 AM PST by MaestroLC ("Let him who wants peace prepare for war."--Vegetius, A.D. Fourth Century)
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To: reefdiver
No question about that. Along with the snowbirds, bussed-in students, illegal aliens, union thugs, etc. etc. etc......

Same election day M.O. as all Rat states.

8 posted on 11/01/2009 5:48:50 AM PST by GOPsterinMA ("Henceforth, you shall be known as...'Nobel Obama'".)
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To: reefdiver

Only if they are registered!


9 posted on 11/01/2009 5:49:16 AM PST by kempster
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To: MaestroLC

In general...when it is close, the incumbent wins.....

Especially in northeast liberal demoncratic states were demoncrats vote twice and their dead get one vote....

NJ deserves what it gets if that is the case....

Corzine is a liberal, race baiting, socialist, freedom hating, gun bashing scumball.....


10 posted on 11/01/2009 5:49:24 AM PST by nevergore ("It could be that the purpose of my life is simply to serve as a warning to others.")
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To: reefdiver

Repeatedly.

If it weren’t for all the rampant cheating, I would expect that Christie would win this race by a fairly clear margin Tuesday. Daggett should lose about half of his overall support and the majority of that would normally go to Christie given Corzine’s hideous approval numbers.

That’s if it were a fair contest, but in NJ, I don’t expect a fair contest.


11 posted on 11/01/2009 5:50:55 AM PST by VOR78
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To: reefdiver

Corzine former girlfriend Karla directed the union support last time. She will be doing the same thing this time. The unions will pull this bad politician out of the hole. Corzine isn’t going anywhere. This is New Jersey. Even though NJ arrested 40 Democrat politicians (including 2 mayors) the Democrat party will be out there working for the Obama guy.


12 posted on 11/01/2009 5:51:41 AM PST by oldironsides
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To: MaestroLC

VOTER FRAUD ALERT


13 posted on 11/01/2009 5:51:52 AM PST by stephenjohnbanker (Pray for, and support our troops(heroes) !! And vote out the RINO's!!)
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To: stephenjohnbanker

Man the polling stations or lose the election


14 posted on 11/01/2009 5:52:24 AM PST by stephenjohnbanker (Pray for, and support our troops(heroes) !! And vote out the RINO's!!)
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To: MaestroLC

I too have a feeling that it will be a close race, and it’s impossible to tell even for me, who will come out on top in what will surely be a “squeaker”. I live in Bergen County NJ, and I can see , at least where I live, (upper middle class Allendale, NJ) that there are NO Corzine signs, but PLENTY of Christie signs. HOWEVER, just yesterday I was working all day in heavily Hispanic West New York NJ, and saw a mobile advertising billboard, complete with spanish language exhortations, being driven around Bergenline Ave., extolling the ‘virtues’ of Corzine, and depicting him with Obama, who was front and center on the picture, speaking from a lectern. There is a huge population centered in cities like Newark, Camden, way further south, and so many others, which will automatically vote for the Dem, even though it’s ALWAYS demonstrably untrue that this Dem has done ANYTHING to help you and your own situation-—Corzine’s electability however is tied exclusively to how well Obama is doing, and , unfortunately , whether Obama is doing well or not in the big picture, that might not even figure very much into whether they vote for Corzine or not.
Corzine will be re-elected by these sizable pockets of inner city residents who always vote for Dems, and who we, in the wealthier and quieter suburbs, ALWAYS forget exist in this state.


15 posted on 11/01/2009 5:53:56 AM PST by supremedoctrine ( A, you're a-dor-a-ble, -------B, you're bus-ted.........)
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To: reefdiver
Do the dead vote in NJ ?

Yes, with Chicago mailing addresses. There was one example where 15 democrats were registered to a bush planted on the side of the Kennedy Expressway. This was duplicated on all the other expressways in Chicago except the Eisenhower, which is the only Republican expressway in Chicago.

16 posted on 11/01/2009 5:58:24 AM PST by Bernard (If you always tell the truth, you never have to remember what you said.)
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To: MaestroLC
A good sign, if true.

Independents breaking HARD GOP at the last minute, just as they broke HARD Obama last November.

He needs a vote-counting czar, not just ACORN. /sarc>

Cheers!

17 posted on 11/01/2009 5:59:44 AM PST by grey_whiskers (The opinions are solely those of the author and are subject to change without notice.)
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To: MaestroLC

This is NJ. Wait for the ACORN / SEIU vote to be counted and recounted before you count the socialist Corzine out. Maybe we’ll see Al Frankin’s recount team make an appearence after the election. We have to pray for a significant win and not just a squeaker or gaurenteed it’ll go to Corzine in the recount.


18 posted on 11/01/2009 6:06:16 AM PST by YankeeReb
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To: Recovering Ex-hippie

An aide getting busted for Ecstasy pills is a story I have not even heard of, and I am pretty well tuned into this type of news, since I live here in NJ. How much play after all, did the much stronger ‘story’ about Corzine’s private email memo to an aide to try to find some statistics they could gin up to show he has actually “brought” or created jobs to New Jersey? That was an outright admission of failure, but it disappeared as soon as everyone heard the ‘blip’ it created. These things have NO effect, the MSM does NOT get on top of them. Here’s the problem: when the trolls who live in the basement of the DNC, are so busy creating DISinformation of their own for so long, and so creatively, and its this disinformation that floods the airwaves and print media, the truth itself is forced to morph into a version of the boy who cried wolf, and it suffers death by a thousand cuts: the electorate is deluged with millions of undigestible bits of hearsay, she said/he said, allegations, possibilities, that they grow weary of even paying attention, and begin to doubt it ALL. THAT IS THE ENTIRE PURPOSE OF DISINFORMATION, TO MUDDY THE WATERS, CLOUD ALL ISSUES, AND UNDERMINE THE TRUTH.


19 posted on 11/01/2009 6:11:35 AM PST by supremedoctrine ( A, you're a-dor-a-ble, -------B, you're bus-ted.........)
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To: reefdiver
Do the dead vote in NJ ?

Camden and Essex counties historically have had one of the most reliable democrat leaning graveyard votes in statewide elections.

20 posted on 11/01/2009 6:18:06 AM PST by JohnLongIsland
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