*****
Here are the internals:
The telephone interviews were collected on October 28-30, 2009 with a statewide random sample of 1,041 likely voters.
40% = Dem | 34% = Ind | 26% = Rep
What do you think?
If the Republican was actually a conservative he’d be walking away with this.
How much, if anything, did his aide getting busted for Ecstasy pills for sale have any emotional impact on the voters,? It just speaks to corruption in a very general way...it is not a big deal overall, but still, it may make some voters be reminded of corruption in general.
With all the corruption in NJ politics, there are probably lots of people worried about what might happen to them with a Republican as Governor. Democrats generally protect their own, and I would look for a lot of people to ‘pull out all stops’ to stop Christie from winning (i.e. vote fraud etc.).
Do the dead vote in NJ ?
In general...when it is close, the incumbent wins.....
Especially in northeast liberal demoncratic states were demoncrats vote twice and their dead get one vote....
NJ deserves what it gets if that is the case....
Corzine is a liberal, race baiting, socialist, freedom hating, gun bashing scumball.....
VOTER FRAUD ALERT
I too have a feeling that it will be a close race, and it’s impossible to tell even for me, who will come out on top in what will surely be a “squeaker”. I live in Bergen County NJ, and I can see , at least where I live, (upper middle class Allendale, NJ) that there are NO Corzine signs, but PLENTY of Christie signs. HOWEVER, just yesterday I was working all day in heavily Hispanic West New York NJ, and saw a mobile advertising billboard, complete with spanish language exhortations, being driven around Bergenline Ave., extolling the ‘virtues’ of Corzine, and depicting him with Obama, who was front and center on the picture, speaking from a lectern. There is a huge population centered in cities like Newark, Camden, way further south, and so many others, which will automatically vote for the Dem, even though it’s ALWAYS demonstrably untrue that this Dem has done ANYTHING to help you and your own situation-—Corzine’s electability however is tied exclusively to how well Obama is doing, and , unfortunately , whether Obama is doing well or not in the big picture, that might not even figure very much into whether they vote for Corzine or not.
Corzine will be re-elected by these sizable pockets of inner city residents who always vote for Dems, and who we, in the wealthier and quieter suburbs, ALWAYS forget exist in this state.
Independents breaking HARD GOP at the last minute, just as they broke HARD Obama last November.
He needs a vote-counting czar, not just ACORN. /sarc>
Cheers!
This is NJ. Wait for the ACORN / SEIU vote to be counted and recounted before you count the socialist Corzine out. Maybe we’ll see Al Frankin’s recount team make an appearence after the election. We have to pray for a significant win and not just a squeaker or gaurenteed it’ll go to Corzine in the recount.
Corzine will lose.
Daggett is a career bureaucrat who has served in various environmental positions in state and federal government.
I say Christie wins this 47-45 with Daggett getting 8%.
“40% = Dem | 34% = Ind | 26% = Rep”
That’s a disgrace. Christie is probably ahead by 5 - 6 points.
too close to call- apparently 1/2 of NJ just loves paying hte highest taxes and property taxes in the nation, loves givign their state the highest % from their checks and loves the fact that thigns are so expensive there that businesses are moving out of state because they couldn’t make it anymore in NJ- What the hell is wrong with people?
I think those internals show that Independents are undersampled and both Dems & Rep are being oversampled.
Thats good news for Christie as the Independents seem to breaking his way.
Its gonna be close...lets go NJ Freepers make sure ALL likeminded folks you know vote on Tuesday so we can defeat Corzine and strike a major blow against the liberal socialist movement in our nation.
I hope this is true but NJ is such a tease. It promises us and promises us that we have a shot in poll after poll and then on election night goes left.
“I think Corzine is in serious trouble. “
That sample seems very skewed to the Dem side, and the fact that Christie leads so strongly with independents is a good sign that the undecideds will break his way. The incumbent needs to be at 50% to be safe and they tend to lose last-minute deciders.
Another thing - Daggett is just a stalking horse for Corzine ... his sole purpose is to split the vote so Corzine can win. If you dont like Corzine, the ONLY vote is Christie, as Daggett is Corzine’s only hope.
Undo the tweaks, which my be a 4pt Dem bias and its a 5 point win by Christie. Just a SWAG but ‘from our lips to Gods ears’.
Lonegan is urging all NJ citizens to vote for Christie to send a message to blue dog Democrats and Obama.