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10 Senate seats most likely to flip
Politico ^ | 11/10/09 | ALEX ISENSTADT

Posted on 11/10/2009 1:08:07 PM PST by mtnwmn

After struggling for two consecutive cycles on the Senate battlefield, Republicans seem poised to make a comeback in 2010. With 37 seats up for grabs — and Democrats defending 19 of them — the GOP is flexing its muscles in Democratic-leaning states like Delaware, Connecticut and Illinois. Recruiting coups by National Republican Senatorial Committee Chairman John Cornyn of Texas are one big reason Republicans feel a new sense of confidence. Democrats, meanwhile, are taking on an increasingly defensive crouch as the party in power, which must defend President Barack Obama’s ambitious — and expensive — agenda.

Without further ado, here is POLITICO’s list of the 10 best pickup opportunities among next year’s Senate contests.

Delaware

Republicans turned Delaware into their top pickup target when they nabbed Rep. Mike Castle, the state’s nine-term moderate congressman, to run for the open seat. Delaware remains a deeply Democratic state, with Vice President Joe Biden — the former occupant of the seat in question — as the state’s political godfather. But Democrats and Republicans agree that Castle is the only Republican in the state who could make this a real race. Now all eyes are on Biden’s son, Democratic Attorney General Beau Biden, who is said to be leaning toward a run.

(Excerpt) Read more at politico.com ...


TOPICS: Constitution/Conservatism; Extended News; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 111th; 2010elections; 2010midterms; gopcomeback; reid
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1 posted on 11/10/2009 1:08:09 PM PST by mtnwmn
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To: mtnwmn
Rep. Roy Blunt, a former House GOP whip, avoided a tough primary against former state Treasurer Sarah Steelman, but he still faces an uphill general election battle.

That doesn't sound right. Blunt should be the favorite in Missouri, given BHO's declining approval ratings.

2 posted on 11/10/2009 1:15:29 PM PST by your local physicist (If the Canadians and Brazilians can drill for oil off their Atlantic coast, why can't we?)
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To: mtnwmn; All

and the GOP “stupid” party will blow it by nominating another far left RINO and try and paint them as a “moderatte” pro abortion pro homosexual pro gun control stooge.

Even FL Charlie “RINO” Crist is running scared and is running as a faux conservative in his radio advertising throughtout the state.

Effete Elite Cato institute is the best he can do for street cred.


3 posted on 11/10/2009 1:18:17 PM PST by longtermmemmory (VOTE! http://www.senate.gov and http://www.house.gov)
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To: mtnwmn
Ohio


With Ohio trending Democratic in recent years, the state has emerged as the top Democratic pickup opportunity in the country. Lt. Gov. Lee Fisher is the all-but-certain Democratic nominee in the race to replace retiring GOP Sen. George Voinovich, though Secretary of State Jennifer Brunner has stubbornly remained in the race despite raising less than $600,000. Former White House Budget Director Rob Portman, poised to run on the GOP side, has already raised more than $6 million for the contest — a hefty sum that has Democrats on edge about Fisher’s less-than-stellar cash figures.

Rob Portman is a solid if unassuming conservative, and he should run strongly against Lee Fisher, who is, plainly put, an uncharismatic idiot. Think of this contest as Dull versus Duller. :)

I think the stain of Stickland's inept handling of Ohio's economy will mark Fisher through the campaign. It's true that Barry carried Ohio last year, but white-bread Fisher is unlikely to excite black voters into heading to the polls, which tilts the field towards the GOP.

4 posted on 11/10/2009 1:18:30 PM PST by TonyInOhio (I hate Illinois Nazis.)
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To: mtnwmn

Peter Schiff in Connecticut actually understands the economic problems of the day.


5 posted on 11/10/2009 1:19:26 PM PST by MichiganConservative (Abolish the IRS, income tax, the 16th amendment and the Federal Reserve. Replace them with nothing.)
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To: your local physicist

Looks like the “Lock” the MSM and pundents have been saying about GOP not being able to gain much in the Senate are vastly overstated... Taking 10 seats to take the majority is an uphill climb, but I don’t think its impossible. There is no doubt the GOP are going to take senate seats in ‘10, its just a question of how many of the 33 or so up for election they will gain.


6 posted on 11/10/2009 1:21:55 PM PST by HamiltonJay
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To: mtnwmn

Too many wildcards. I’d be happy if they could stall health care for the year and and get enough seats back to kill it permanently.


7 posted on 11/10/2009 1:22:46 PM PST by RabidBartender (I will work harder, Napoleon is always right.)
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To: TonyInOhio

Stickland’s incompetence has cost the GOP greatly in OH for the last few cycles... hopefully Fauxbamas utter ineptitude will make them realize its time to forget about Stickland.


8 posted on 11/10/2009 1:23:21 PM PST by HamiltonJay
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To: HamiltonJay

5 or 6 seats would allow them to shut down the Senate any time they wanted when you remove Collins and Snowe’s ability to close debate.


9 posted on 11/10/2009 1:24:33 PM PST by misterrob (A society that burdens future generations with debt can not be considered moral or just)
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To: TonyInOhio

Strickland benefitted from the prior two huge RINO govs - Voinovich & Taft. Unfortunately, it cost a real conservative (Ken Blackwell) the last election.


10 posted on 11/10/2009 1:25:53 PM PST by newfreep ("Liberalism is just Communism sold by the drink." - P.J. O'Rourke)
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To: mtnwmn
I'm glad they have a new sense of confidence in themselves, because I sure as hell don't have any confidence in them. Watching the current Republicans win elections is like having to have your pain-in-the-ass inlaws bailing out your sinking boat. You'd just as soon throw them overboard to the sharks, but if you do that you'll sink and drown (i.e. democrat turds running things).

GOP, it's time to return to your bread and butter - fiscal hawkishness, pro-business, strong defense. Do those three, you will turn the entire country red.

11 posted on 11/10/2009 1:28:50 PM PST by domenad (In all things, in all ways, at all times, let honor guide me.)
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To: mtnwmn

Any GOP US Senate seats likely to flip the other way?


12 posted on 11/10/2009 1:30:29 PM PST by US Navy Vet
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To: mtnwmn

Don’t count you chickens before they hatch....................


13 posted on 11/10/2009 1:30:36 PM PST by Red Badger (If liberty means anything at all, it means the right to tell people what they do not want to hear.)
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To: mtnwmn
Hopefully all of these predictions pan out. The problem is that if Obamacare passes it won't matter since essentially it will be the end of the two party system in this country.

Barry has done the math. Even if the house and senate flip in this election it doesn't matter. His 2 Lieutenants in the house are Pelosi and Bwarney. Both of them will continue to hold those seats 10 years after they die. They run basically unopposed. So lets say all the dems vote Obamacare in. The public is PO'd and the congress flips. Barry doesn't care, nor do Pelosi and Frank.

These people are Stalinists at heart. The operating principle of a Stalinists is power. So temporarily they're weakened, but Obamacare is in place. What happens 10, 15 20 years down the road? We have more and more people dependent on the government, thus more and more dependent on keeping the dems in power. When the majority are slaves to the government the ruling party stays in power and that's it for our 2 party system.

The one thing this whole scheme depends on is having Obamacare in place by 2010. If a few useful idiots get thrown out of office after that, who cares. It's only temporary. Stalinists don't think in terms of election cycles, they think in terms of generations.

Therefore we must keep the pressure up. Keep writing, calling and attending town halls. Make these people, especially in the swing districts see they'll be thrown out. Hopefully enough will get cold feet and vote against this. Once Obamacare is in place we'll never be rid of it, and any anti abortion, or anti illegal provisions will quickly be thrown out.

14 posted on 11/10/2009 1:32:59 PM PST by YankeeReb
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To: mtnwmn

Senator Bayh should have an easy re-election here, although it was reported this morning that he might get a primary challenge from the left.

Still waiting for the media excitedly reporting on the “deep divisions” in the Democrat party.....

hh


15 posted on 11/10/2009 1:33:58 PM PST by hoosier hick (Note to RINOs: We need a choice, not an echo....Barry Goldwater)
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To: US Navy Vet
Any GOP US Senate seats likely to flip the other way?

Missouri? Kit Bond is retiring.

16 posted on 11/10/2009 1:36:34 PM PST by freespirited (Liberals are only liberal about sex & drugs. Otherwise, they want to control your life. --DHorowitz)
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To: RabidBartender

The article didn’t include Blanche Lincoln. I think her current approval rate is in the 30s. She could have a tough race ahead.


17 posted on 11/10/2009 1:39:10 PM PST by BelleAl
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To: freespirited
Blunt will have some problems. His son was a one-term, rather unpopular governor and he's running against Robin Carnahan, the daughter of the guy who won a Senate seat as a dead guy.

Carnahans rarely lose in Missouri. Unless they're flying a plane.

18 posted on 11/10/2009 1:41:44 PM PST by Repealthe17thAmendment (Is this field required?)
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To: US Navy Vet
Any GOP US Senate seats likely to flip the other way?

NO GOP incumbents are in danger but there are the following open seats due to GOP retirements: NH, OH, KY, MO, and FL.

Dem seats in play include: DE, IL, CT, NV, AR, and PA. If the ground continues to shift, more could become in play.

19 posted on 11/10/2009 1:42:22 PM PST by NeoCaveman (let's all go rogue)
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To: BelleAl

I’m not sure Republicans ran anybody in the last race in Arkansas.


20 posted on 11/10/2009 1:46:10 PM PST by RabidBartender (I will work harder, Napoleon is always right.)
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