Fifty-two percent would like to see their own representatives reelected in 2010, while 29 percent want them out of office, according the Pew poll.
There's your problem right there.
This survey doesn’t give nearly enough information. Remember congressional elections are a district by district. So a national survey doesn’t provide enough granularity. In Oklahoma, a Republican voting state, our Republican congressman would probably poll at 65% to 70% for re-election. In Nancy Pelosi’s district she would probably get close to the same.
The control of congress will rest with what happens at the margin. The poll does not tell us in how many districts the people want their incumbent out. They have spread the data out like butter on toast and it tells us nothing.
"Show me just what Mohammed brought that was new, and there you will find only things evil and inhuman, such as his command to spread by the sword the faith he preached." - Manuel II Palelogus