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Rasmussen : Obama at 61% disapproval among independents
Hot Air ^ | November 24, 2009 | ED MORRISSEY

Posted on 11/25/2009 4:06:10 PM PST by RobinMasters

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To: RobinMasters

The only thing that can save Obama now is a Republican congress, which is what saved Bill Clinton.


21 posted on 11/25/2009 5:15:35 PM PST by TexasFreeper2009 (Obama lied, the economy died)
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To: truthguy; All

> When you add all this up you are very close to having
> enough people to win the election.

One factor that is NOT accounted for in this data is every politician's greatest fear: An unmotivated electorate, leading to poor T-U-R-N-O-U-T on Election Day.

Obama “supporters” may LIKE Obama, but getting them to come out to vote is a different matter. Even "Likely Voter" polls miss the mark on this somewhat intangible predictor.

Look at the 2009 Governor races in NJ and Virginia as a reference to this fact.


22 posted on 11/25/2009 5:15:56 PM PST by BP2 (I think, therefore I'm a conservative)
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To: BP2
One factor that is NOT accounted for in this data is every politician's greatest fear: An unmotivated electorate, leading to poor T-U-R-N-O-U-T on Election Day. Obama “supporters” may LIKE Obama, but getting them to come out to vote is a different matter. Even "Likely Voter" polls miss the mark on this somewhat intangible predictor.

This wont' happen in a presidential election. This isn't the NJ or VA governors race. The 2010 & 2012 elections are BIG TIME with tons of publicity. There's not a chance in hell of having a low turnout.
23 posted on 11/25/2009 5:20:52 PM PST by truthguy (Good intentions are not enough!)
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To: truthguy

We have a relative in the SF Bay area that you have just described. We are Texans and we describe him as being “as nutty as a peach orchard borer”. Not that we have any idea what a peach orchard borer is but that means he is a loon.


24 posted on 11/25/2009 5:20:58 PM PST by Ditter
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To: Ditter
We have a relative in the SF Bay area that you have just described. We are Texans and we describe him as being “as nutty as a peach orchard borer”.

You have just described at least 50% of the White population of the SF Bay area. That's no exaggeration!

Nuttier than a fruitcake and dumber than a box of rocks!
25 posted on 11/25/2009 5:24:25 PM PST by truthguy (Good intentions are not enough!)
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To: Ditter

I live in the Bay Area and 98% of my coworkers are like that, too. All they still talk about is convicting or executing Bush and Cheney for all their “crimes.” I mentioned Obama being the first president to ever bow down to a foreign leader and they shot back “Sounds like something Bush would have done.” How bizarre!!


26 posted on 11/25/2009 5:36:23 PM PST by ProtectOurFreedom
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To: RobinMasters
This is a really beautiful graph:


27 posted on 11/25/2009 6:53:39 PM PST by jws3sticks (Sarah Palin forever!)
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To: truthguy; Clemenza

No problem guys. If the ‘event’ folks are talking about is a pair of nukes taking out NYC and SF, all of our problems are solved.


28 posted on 11/25/2009 7:07:24 PM PST by Lucius Cornelius Sulla (a wild-eyed, exclusionist, birther religio-beast -- Daily Kos)
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To: truthguy; All


Voter Turnout

Looking at the second terms elections of Reagan (1998) and Clinton (1996), there's no reason to suspect we won't see a drop in 2012, especially among those who supported Obama. The Right is VERY motivated and pissed off and it won't get better -- expect a HISTORIC turnout from Conservatives. Meanwhile, the Left is disaffected and dejected -- we'll see a real-time example of that next week with Obama's Afghanistan Plan.

The National Debt will be nearly $17 Trillion, not accounting for ObamaCare and any Cap & Trade in mid-2012. The public will still be reeling from more than $500 Billion of mortgage resets estimated for 2012, not accounting for hundreds of billions in commercial mortgage resets. The "Asset Bubble" will likely have popped sometime in late-2011 as unemployment decreases and the Fed will be FORCED to raise interest rates. Overseas investors of US Bonds will jump ship as that happens.

The wisdom of the ever-so-weaselly James Carville still rings true:
"It's the economy, stupid."

Obama will be the sap holding the check after everyone else has already left the restaurant, as Carl Rove himself laughs from the kitchen and Sarah Palin waits with the maître d' to be seated.


29 posted on 11/25/2009 7:15:46 PM PST by BP2 (I think, therefore I'm a conservative)
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To: BP2

Dreamer!


30 posted on 11/25/2009 7:44:08 PM PST by truthguy (Good intentions are not enough!)
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To: Gator113
GOP...DO NOT SCREW THIS UP

Amen! And if not the GOP then somebody, aaaanybody. I'd wear sackcloth and ashes for a year to get rid of the Commie and his cohorts.

31 posted on 11/25/2009 9:02:14 PM PST by phredo53 (Caution: This post does not comply with White House standards.)
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To: Jeff Chandler

Rather eye-catching. BUT ... it’s generic. People tend to think of Congressmen/Senators as horrible, except for THEIR guy. GOP better do some serious recruiting of top notch candidates. This should help, on the heels of the VA/NJ elections earlier in the month.


32 posted on 11/25/2009 9:04:41 PM PST by EDINVA
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To: truthguy

LOL ;)

In 2012, the old Reagan phrase:

"Are you better off today
than you were four years ago?"

will have a whole new meaning.


And all the polls in 2009 showing support for Obama
among disaffected demographic groups won't save
his ass from his fate:



33 posted on 11/25/2009 9:22:54 PM PST by BP2 (I think, therefore I'm a conservative)
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