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Physicist Howard Hayden's one-letter disproof of global warming claims [pre-Climategate]
Mises Economic Blog ^ | 10/29/2009 | Stephan Kinsella

Posted on 11/27/2009 2:01:23 PM PST by sionnsar

Physicist Howard Hayden, a staunch advocate of sound energy policy, sent me a copy of his letter to the EPA about global warming. The text is also appended below, with permission.

As noted in my post Access to Energy, Hayden helped the late, great Petr Beckmann found the dissident physics journal Galilean Electrodynamics (brochures and further Beckmann info here; further dissident physics links). Hayden later began to publish his own pro-energy newsletter, The Energy Advocate, following in the footsteps of Beckmann's own journal Access to Energy

I love Hayden's email sign-off, "People will do anything to save the world ... except take a course in science." Here's the letter:

***

Howard C. Hayden
785 S. McCoy Drive
Pueblo West, CO 81007

October 27, 2009

The Honorable Lisa P. Jackson, Administrator
Environmental Protection Agency
1200 Pennsylvania Ave., NW Washington, DC 20460

Dear Administrator Jackson:

I write in regard to the Proposed Endangerment and Cause or Contribute Findings for Greenhouse Gases Under Section 202(a) of the Clean Air Act, Proposed Rule, 74 Fed. Reg. 18,886 (Apr. 24, 2009), the so-called "Endangerment Finding."

It has been often said that the "science is settled" on the issue of CO2 and climate. Let me put this claim to rest with a simple one-letter proof that it is false.

The letter is s, the one that changes model into models. If the science were settled, there would be precisely one model, and it would be in agreement with measurements.

Alternatively, one may ask which one of the twenty-some models settled the science so that all the rest could be discarded along with the research funds that have kept those models alive.

We can take this further. Not a single climate model predicted the current cooling phase. If the science were settled, the model (singular) would have predicted it.

Let me next address the horror story that we are approaching (or have passed) a "tipping point." Anybody who has worked with amplifiers knows about tipping points. The output "goes to the rail." Not only that, but it stays there. That's the official worry coming from the likes of James Hansen (of NASA­GISS) and Al Gore.

But therein lies the proof that we are nowhere near a tipping point. The earth, it seems, has seen times when the CO2 concentration was up to 8,000 ppm, and that did not lead to a tipping point. If it did, we would not be here talking about it. In fact, seen on the long scale, the CO2 concentration in the present cycle of glacials (ca. 200 ppm) and interglacials (ca. 300-400 ppm) is lower than it has been for the last 300 million years.

Global-warming alarmists tell us that the rising CO2 concentration is (A) anthropogenic and (B) leading to global warming.

(A) CO2 concentration has risen and fallen in the past with no help from mankind. The present rise began in the 1700s, long before humans could have made a meaningful contribution. Alarmists have failed to ask, let alone answer, what the CO2 level would be today if we had never burned any fuels. They simply assume that it would be the "pre-industrial" value.

(B) The first principle of causality is that the cause has to come before the effect. The historical record shows that climate changes precede CO2 changes. How, then, can one conclude that CO2 is responsible for the current warming?

Nobody doubts that CO2 has some greenhouse effect, and nobody doubts that CO2 concentration is increasing. But what would we have to fear if CO2 and temperature actually increased?


Consider the change in vocabulary that has occurred. The term global warming has given way to the term climate change, because the former is not supported by the data. The latter term, climate change, admits of all kinds of illogical attributions. If it warms up, that's climate change. If it cools down, ditto. Any change whatsoever can be said by alarmists to be proof of climate change.

In a way, we have been here before. Lord Kelvin "proved" that the earth could not possibly be as old as the geologists said. He "proved" it using the conservation of energy. What he didn't know was that nuclear energy, not gravitation, provides the internal heat of the sun and the earth.

Similarly, the global-warming alarmists have "proved" that CO2 causes global warming.

Except when it doesn't.

To put it fairly but bluntly, the global-warming alarmists have relied on a pathetic version of science in which computer models take precedence over data, and numerical averages of computer outputs are believed to be able to predict the future climate. It would be a travesty if the EPA were to countenance such nonsense.

Best Regards,

Howard C. Hayden

Professor Emeritus of Physics, UConn


TOPICS: Crime/Corruption; US: Connecticut
KEYWORDS: agw; climatechange; climategate; co2; epa; globaltax; globalwarming; globalwarminghoax; gore; howardhayden; lordkelvin; plantfood; popefrancis; romancatholicism; scam
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1 posted on 11/27/2009 2:01:24 PM PST by sionnsar
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To: sionnsar; Little Bill; Nervous Tick; 4horses+amule; Desdemona; Fractal Trader; grey_whiskers; ...
 


Beam me to Planet Gore !

2 posted on 11/27/2009 2:05:42 PM PST by steelyourfaith (Time to prosecute Al Gore now that fellow scam artist Bernie Madoff is in stir.)
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bttt


3 posted on 11/27/2009 2:10:03 PM PST by Matchett-PI ("The Role of Government is to Secure Our Liberty, Not to Seize It" ~ Rush 6/26/09)
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To: sionnsar
(Sound of grey_whiskers purring.)

Consider yourself *HIGHLY* commended, sir.

Cheers!

4 posted on 11/27/2009 2:14:12 PM PST by grey_whiskers (The opinions are solely those of the author and are subject to change without notice.)
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To: sionnsar

Fantastic letter. Truly great.


5 posted on 11/27/2009 2:14:54 PM PST by Secret Agent Man (I'd like to tell you, but then I'd have to kill you.)
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To: sionnsar

btt


6 posted on 11/27/2009 2:15:14 PM PST by Cacique (quos Deus vult perdere, prius dementat ( Islamia Delenda Est ))
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To: sionnsar

drip, drip, drip - The dam is cracking. We need to keep up the pressure to stop this assault on liberty.


7 posted on 11/27/2009 2:16:24 PM PST by Exton1
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To: Secret Agent Man
Fantastic letter. Truly great.

That's what I thought too. Surprised that a search on FR didn't turn it up, but it's certainly timely now!

8 posted on 11/27/2009 2:17:09 PM PST by sionnsar (IranAzadi|5yst3m 0wn3d-it's N0t Y0ur5:SONY|Remember Neda Agha-Soltan|TV--it's NOT news you can trust)
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To: sionnsar

Well stated indeed. There are many simple and logical reasons that disprove the global warming alarmists dire predictions. Much of the northern hemisphere has been covered in glaciers, not once but several times in recent geologic history. The physical effects left by the most recent glaciers are abundant and easily datable. Obviously our global climate was far colder for these glaciers to have formed and massive global warming obviously melted them. If human made CO2 could not possibly have caused these massive changes in global climate, what did? Clearly there is some other climate change mechanism yet unexplained by these experts that caused these changes. Could the climate variations we see today be just part of this natural cycle over which we have no control?


9 posted on 11/27/2009 2:18:19 PM PST by The Great RJ ("The problem with socialism is that you eventually run out of other people's money." M. Thatcher)
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To: sionnsar
WOW! This is a "KEEPER!"

I don't think I've ever seen the GOREBUL warming hoax exposed and debunked, in such a comprehensive, non-scientific, easily understood, rational and logical perspective.

Of course, the EnviroNuts (including most of the EPA) will simply ignore this brilliant deduction as they have absolutely NO rejoinder.

10 posted on 11/27/2009 2:22:34 PM PST by Conservative Vermont Vet ((One of ONLY 37 Conservatives in the People's Republic of Vermont. Socialists and Progressives All))
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To: sionnsar

bump


11 posted on 11/27/2009 2:22:41 PM PST by SouthTexas (God Bless our Fort Hood Troops)
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To: Conservative Vermont Vet

Eggs Ackley! Just sent out to all my AGW friends!


12 posted on 11/27/2009 2:24:55 PM PST by Dr. Bogus Pachysandra ( Ya can't pick up a turd by the clean end!)
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To: sionnsar
According to Ed Begley he's only a physicist so has no professional credentials to criticize global warming.
13 posted on 11/27/2009 2:26:51 PM PST by SpaceBar
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To: sionnsar

btt


14 posted on 11/27/2009 2:28:49 PM PST by Cacique (quos Deus vult perdere, prius dementat ( Islamia Delenda Est ))
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To: Cacique

This letter needs to be READ. brilliant, in one page he debunks the climate hoax. Everyone should send this to folks on their mailing list..


15 posted on 11/27/2009 2:32:17 PM PST by Cacique (quos Deus vult perdere, prius dementat ( Islamia Delenda Est ))
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To: Cacique
This letter needs to be READ. brilliant, in one page he debunks the climate hoax. Everyone should send this to folks on their mailing list..

I just e-mailed it to mine.

16 posted on 11/27/2009 2:37:08 PM PST by sionnsar (IranAzadi|5yst3m 0wn3d-it's N0t Y0ur5:SONY|Remember Neda Agha-Soltan|TV--it's NOT news you can trust)
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To: sionnsar
That's been one of my points:

There is no Climate Science, only scientists working to develop one (or not).

17 posted on 11/27/2009 2:37:12 PM PST by Paladin2
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To: sionnsar

So clearly stated and concise. Love it!


18 posted on 11/27/2009 2:45:53 PM PST by BigBobber
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To: SpaceBar

And Ed Begley, Jr. is ONLY a goofy actor who thinks he’s a scientist.


19 posted on 11/27/2009 2:58:02 PM PST by boatbums (Pro-woman, pro-child, pro-life!)
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To: sionnsar
The Honorable Lisa P. Jackson, Administrator

She is anything but honerable IMHO.

If she were, she wouldn't be pushing the EPA in the direction she is pushing.

20 posted on 11/27/2009 2:59:57 PM PST by SteamShovel (When hope trumps reality, there is no hope at all.)
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