I have seen a few of his types fold and go away in Industry. Completely inequipped for the job, but told all their lives they are Special Geniuses, they have no Plan B. They have never failed before and do not accept its possibility. Eventually, hopping from one disaster to another, they run out of people to blame.
That is why there can never be a Bill Clinton reinvention with this one. Clinton had skills. He even had had jobs.
The viewership ratings of the SOTU Adress will tell it all.
IMHO the numbers are likely to be HUGE. This is not because many people, like myself, like him or want him to succeed; indeed, the opposite is the case. Rather, I am fascinated to see how he responds to the massive electoral defeats he's suffered in in VA, MA, and NJ elections and what steps he's going to take to deal with those defeats. I suspect he's going to double down and keep pushing. I also wonder if he'll be able to keep on demonstrating the faux eleoquence that he's been so good at in the past. Beause of all that, I don't think the SOTU numbers will prove much of anything other than how much people want to see what he has to say.