New York 13%- I might be dead wrong, but I think the right GOP candidate would have better than a 13% chance of beating Gillibrand in NY.
California 21%-Picking off Boxer in California would be even sweeter than the Brown victory in Mass., but I have to agree it's still kind of a long shot.
Illinois 51%...I just don't know about that one. 50/50 seems about right to me.
Connecticut 1% - For the folks that live there: do you agree with the 1% chance rating? Is Blumenthal really perceived as that unstoppable?
Candidate recruitment will play a big part.. For example, will Chris Shays run in CT? Will Pataki run in NY?
Blumenthal is not unstoppable. The Republican just has to mash him the way Glenn Beck mashes him here:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=goNw7cu1G3g