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$8 Billion Bet Against the Euro
Economic Policy Journal ^ | 2/8/10 | Robert Wenzel

Posted on 2/8/2010, 9:22:26 PM by FromLori

Traders and hedge funds have bet nearly $8 billion against the euro, amassing the biggest short position in the euro ever, reports FT.

Investors increased their short positions against the euro to record levels in the week ending February 2, according to the latest figures from the Chicago Merc.

The build-up in net short positions represents more than 40,000 contracts traded against the euro, equivalent to positions worth $7.6 billion.

This kind of size suggests that there are major players involved, hedge funds and the like.

However, it is not clear to me that shorting the euro is the way to play the European debt crisis. If the EU bends and decides to print euros to bailout the PIIGS, then this is a great trade. In my mind, it is difficult to see how Germany would be willing to lead the strong EU members in a mass bailout of the PIIGS. That said, given the non-printing of money by the Fed, dollar strength versus the euro is likely anyway, but not because of the crisis.

The crisis environment, however, will make traders nervous and add fuel to dollar strength.


TOPICS: Foreign Affairs; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: bets; euro

1 posted on 2/8/2010, 9:22:26 PM by FromLori
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To: perchprism; LomanBill; JDoutrider; tired1; Maine Mariner; demsux; April Lexington; Marty62; ...

ping

related

http://www.businessinsider.com/biggest-bet-against-the-euro-in-its-history-as-investors-short-currency-2010-2


2 posted on 2/8/2010, 9:23:52 PM by FromLori (FromLori)
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To: FromLori
The way to deal with this and settle the hash of some people who badly need it is for all countries to buy the Euro hard and drive it up to well over par.

The image of George Soros reduced to dumpster diving is like drinking fine wine.

3 posted on 2/8/2010, 9:51:56 PM by Jimmy Valentine (DemocRATS - when they speak, they lie; when they are silent, they are stealing the American Dream)
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To: FromLori

Anyone surprised?? I’ll bet you a burger that if the Euro falls, Goldman Saks will make the most money off of it. This crew has been selling the US economy short for years, why should the EU be any different??


4 posted on 2/8/2010, 9:54:04 PM by Bean Counter (Stout Hearts...)
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To: FromLori
It's a really great thing when people take positions on currency merely as a bet.

It is a really efficient allocation of resources: all those managers and brokers and analysts and secretaries running about trying to guess whether to go long or short.

It is also great for adding information to the system. If there is and amount 'A' of something it must be so much better to trade '100*A' of it then just a measly 'A' of it. That's got to really help the market get to the correct price real quick.

/sarc

5 posted on 2/8/2010, 9:55:31 PM by who_would_fardels_bear (These fragments I have shored against my ruins)
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To: Bean Counter

lol govt. sucks is really into everything

Exploded Connecticut Power Plant Was a Goldman Sachs Deal

http://www.economicpolicyjournal.com/2010/02/exploded-connecticut-power-plant-was.html


6 posted on 2/8/2010, 10:17:36 PM by FromLori (FromLori)
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To: FromLori

Europe should have never embraced the Euro. Instead of States, they are different countries,with different cultures to deal with. Having all of this under one financial umbrella is just to much. Greece and Spain are going to bring the Euro to it’s Bankrupt knees.


7 posted on 2/8/2010, 10:42:22 PM by dbrew2u
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