1-n.d. gone
2-del castle has a 25 pt lead
3.ark- lincoln has a better chance of surviving the shooting than blance does of winning that election
4- pa spector doesn’t pull this one out.
5-reid is toast
6- bayh did us an enomous favor becomes a safe pub seat.
Best case scenario is rats -6.
7- ill meeks has a comfortable lead.
8- col bennett is in serious trouble.
more speculative
wash especially if rossi runs
cal if boxer loses rats will never recover.
wis especially if tt makes a run or the economy gets worse.
nyI and II
kudlow and pataki would send a shiver up the collective @#$%$ of all the rats.
This election will be better than 1980 better than 94.
let’s just put all the nails in the many deseved coffins of the rats.
The ‘Pubs should do everything they can to get Thompson to try for the WI seat. I’m surprised about Rossi in WA state. I didn’t think he wanted to go to DC. But the last time out the voters made it clear they didn’t want him as Gov. Maybe they see him doing better in the Senate.
Thank you - Good analysis. I would point out that developments in NY First CD and NY Second CD are the direct result of last summers town hall meetings about the attempted takeover of health care. Bishop in NY 1 was blasted at the town halls. Steve Israel in NY 2 tried to get away with “telephone town halls” so he wouldn’t have to face angry constituents. Israel tries to dance around every issue, but always come down on the side that Chuck (the schmuck) Schumer tells him to. Ditto for the non-elected Senator Gillibrand, the appointee of our non-elected governor. I’m beginning to lose count of how many NY democrats are in elective offices to which they were never elected.
Maybe Spector will switch back to the Republicans...and announce it at a Tea Party.