Wow. From -11 to -17 in one day. And remember, Rasmussen is actually giving us a THREE DAY AVERAGE. How in the heck can you move 6 points with a three day average? He would have to be polling overnight in at least the middle -20’s.
I think it will become verrrrrrrrry interesting after HIS healthcare plan is released. I’m shooting for -25 (I can dream...)
You are making me downright giddy!!!
Do you remember what his lowest was?
>> How in the heck can you move 6 points with a three day average? <<
Just to look at one-half of the Rasmussen “Index,” here are my estimates of the “raw numbers” for Strongly Approve over the last ten days:
Feb. 11 - 23.5
Feb. 12 - 23.5
Feb. 13 - 23.5
Feb. 14 - 26.5
Feb. 15 - 23.0
Feb. 16 - 24.0
Feb. 17 - 32.5
Feb. 18 - 25.5
Feb. 19 - 24.0
Feb. 20 - 20.5
If my math is correct, you can do 3-day moving averages with these numbers, round to the nearest percentage integer (no decimal point), and you’ll get the daily Rasmussen figure for the statistic in question.
I don’t claim absolute accuracy, of course, but perhaps the exercise will give a basic “feeling” of what’s been transpiring lately.
For example, the samples for last night and for the night before the February 17th report would appear to be quite far from the “true numbers.” But that’s probably about what’s to be expected from time to time — when the nightly sample is only 300 respondents.
Next, let’s consider the other half of the “Index,” namely the Strongly Disapprove number. It probably suffers from a lot of multicollinearity with the SA number. So the two components of the Index should tend to move with another on a regular basis, albeit in opposite directions. Hence exaggerated swings such as this morning’s whopping six-point decline are inevitable once in a while.
I thought the same thing and here is an obvious explanation.
The President is now 100% for the health care ram-through. The alst time the health care debate was raging his approvals were declining. Now he is at the center because the bill is now coming from him for all to see.
People are seeing it and they are now disapproving once again.
Next stop is the high 30’s.
The plan to Rahm through a health care bill on reconciliation may have gotten the Sheeple’s attention.