They are more than likely to start a civil war and get themselves killed.
I would be much more concerned about their “Plan B”. Plan A is always out in the open, obvious, distracting. Plan B is always so much more direct and powerful, but always based on a magician’s misdirection. It will result in misplaced blame, misdirected attack and consequent misdirected and thus wasted energy. Watch for Plan B - sudden, powerful, truly devastating and evil, and demonically devious.