I think it's safe to say that of the states were there is no data, that ID, MT, SD, MS, SC, and WV are in our camp, while ME and VT are in Obama's.
Posted on 04/16/2010 9:53:52 AM PDT by Titus Quinctius Cincinnatus
Though Election Day is still months away, pundits have already begun to speculate on possible outcomes for this year's midterms. There's a general consensus that Democrats will lose seats in November, but beyond that opinions vary widely on how big those losses might be. Some argue that because of the advance notice, passage of health care, and an improving economy (or some combination of all three), Democrats will be able to limit their losses significantly. Others are predicting a repeat of 1994, when Democrats lost 50+ seats and control of the House.
So how bad could 2010 get for the Democrats? Let me say upfront that I tend to agree with analysts who argue that if we move into a "V"-shaped recovery and President Obama's job approval improves, Democratic losses could be limited to twenty or twenty-five seats.
That said, I think those who suggest that the House is barely in play, or that we are a long way from a 1994-style scenario are missing the mark. A 1994-style scenario is probably the most likely outcome at this point. Moreover, it is well within the realm of possibility - not merely a far-fetched scenario - that Democratic losses could climb into the 80 or 90-seat range. The Democrats are sailing into a perfect storm of factors influencing a midterm election, and if the situation declines for them in the ensuing months, I wouldn't be shocked to see Democratic losses eclipse 100 seats.
(Excerpt) Read more at realclearpolitics.com ...
I think it's safe to say that of the states were there is no data, that ID, MT, SD, MS, SC, and WV are in our camp, while ME and VT are in Obama's.
We’ve got to keep up the pressure!
They may want to think twice about Heading their party with a Communist Kenyan born citizen.
Just a thought.
I think the Democrats are going to lose a lot more seats than they think they’re going to lose, I see a lot of denial going on out there, places like the DU, who for some reason think Obama’s plans are going to work and people will see that, they’re just deluding themselves just like they did when they thought Scott Brown was going to lose. People are angry and the fact that the media is portraying that anger as racism or nutcases just tells me they’re really scared that the backlash is going to be much worse than they’re saying.
This means that everything the Democrats are doing must be put to the people. Document everything and I mean everything that goes against the people.
November cannot come quickly enough
Overlay that map with this unemployement map and watch those blue states go very, very dark. People are beginning to come out of their kool-aid haze so there should be quite a few seats up for grabs.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=x18hrNp—NM
Setting up unrealistic expectations so the Dems can claim a moral victory? Wait a minute... “Dems”? “moral”? In the same sentence? This makes no sense. ;-)
“They may want to think twice about Heading their party with a Communist Kenyan born citizen.”
######
Not to mention a rabid, elitist far-left rich b!tch as Speaker, and a nasty, arrogant, corrupt, little weasly punk as Senate Majority Leader.
I don’t trust anybody except Michael Barone on predictions.
I will say that the majority-minority districts do not bode well for Obama. Lots of his support is overwhelming in a few Congressional districts.
Look to the state legislative elections too. This is where the real activism and GOTV efforts pay off. Get Rs in those seats and we are looking at a redistricting bonanza.
If you are looking for really good news, I’m looking at some of those states and Iowa will overwhelmingly elect a new R governor, Mark Kirk (RINO, but better than some) stands a great chance at the Senate seat, NJ elected Christie and MA elected Brown.
It is not looking good for them at all. Obama’s approval will not necessarily translate into Dem Congressional candidate approval. People have warm feelings for the POTUS even if they loathe everything he’s doing because he’s POTUS.
One can only hope...and work like hell!
We might see another Dem president impeached in 2011, and convicted this time. That would make three Dem presidents impeached.
Interesting, but I have a terrible suspicion that a Reichstag event is coming before the election. Look how consistently the administration and its propaganda organs (the “mainstream” media) have been painting conservatives as violent, racial extremists. The mask is off the American left, and I believe they’re capable of anything at this point. Beware. Be vigilant. Be prepared.
So, obama got elected because a lot of “ordinary” people were.... angry... with George Bush ...and democrats stoked that anger, rolled in it, bathed in it
Karma is a beyotch, isn’t it
In the 2008 election, the liberal democrats in congress crashed the market (popped the housing bubble) to sway public opinion against the republicans.
It is my belief that considering the writing the dems clearly see on the wall for November, they will double down on the same tactic this summer (if not sooner) with another economic blowout. Only this time, it will be Wallstreet in the crosshairs instead of republicans.
They will then be able to successfully align republicans with Wallstreet, and avoid the health care takeover issue alltogether.
It’s looking like the democrats really need some blow out massive well planned fraud to stay in power, isn’t it?
When I see pelosi and reid with smug faces, I fear for November
As far as I’m concerned, it can’t get bad enough!
Interesting, but I have a terrible suspicion that a Reichstag event is coming before the election.
I firmly agree. Look at what happened to Obamas opponent when he ran for the senate. Obama would have lost for sure and suddenly something came out of nowhere. And, legally, it should have stayed in nowhere.
No where near bad enough to suite me. I want to see the dimocRATS placed upon the ash-heap of failed ideologies along with facism, communism, totalitarianism, and every other ism that has befouled humanity.
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