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When the niños run out
The Economist ^ | 22 April 2010

Posted on 04/28/2010 4:44:40 PM PDT by Lorianne

A falling birth rate [in Mexico], and what it means ___ The United States goes to great lengths to hold back the teeming masses across its southern border. But the masses are teeming less.

Mexico’s birth rate, once among the world’s highest, is in free-fall. In the 1960s Mexican mothers had nearly seven children each (whereas women in India then had fewer than six). The average now is just over two—almost the same as in the United States. The UN reckons that from 2040 the birth rate in Mexico will be the lower of the two.

Today, four out of ten married Mexican women are sterilised, a radical measure that partly reflects the continuing lack of other contraception in some areas as well as strict laws against abortion everywhere but the capital. Broader changes, such as more women in education and work, and pricier housing, have pushed down the size of families even more.

Mexicans in the United States are more fertile than their counterparts back home. “Mexico has impregnated the United States,” says Joel Kotkin, an urban historian at Chapman University in Los Angeles, who points out that Mexican genes will proliferate north of the border even if immigration falls. Higher wages mean that it is easier to afford a decent family home in Houston than in Mexico City.

History teaches caution in assessing the link between demography and migration. The Mexican baby boom of the 1950s coincided with lowish emigration, whereas the exodus to the United States kicked off in the 1980s, just as Mexico’s birth rate was plummeting. Today’s falling fertility rate will curb the flow. But the main motors of migration will still be economic boom or bust—on both sides of the border.

(Excerpt) Read more at economist.com ...


TOPICS: Foreign Affairs; Government; Mexico
KEYWORDS:

1 posted on 04/28/2010 4:44:40 PM PDT by Lorianne
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To: Lorianne

Mexicans in the U.S. seem to get social services for producing children, something Mexico doesn’t provide.


2 posted on 04/28/2010 4:46:38 PM PDT by SatinDoll (NO Foreign Nationals as our President!!)
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To: Lorianne

‘Tis the Muslims who are booming........


3 posted on 04/28/2010 4:49:09 PM PDT by yoe (The "N" word stands for NO...as in NO MORE VOTES FOR IRRESPONSIBLE CONGRESSMEN OR SENATORS.)
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To: Lorianne

Socialism = birth control, either via economics or compulsion.


4 posted on 04/28/2010 4:54:25 PM PDT by lurk
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To: Lorianne

“The United States goes to great lengths to hold back the teeming masses across its southern border.”

Sometimes you can hold it back and sometimes you can’t....RAAAALPH!!!


5 posted on 04/28/2010 4:54:50 PM PDT by 2nd Bn, 11th Mar (The "P" in democrat stands for patriotism)
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To: SatinDoll

This has been a fairly consistent pattern whenever populations reach a certain living standard-—anywhere.


6 posted on 04/28/2010 5:03:01 PM PDT by LS ("Castles made of sand, fall in the sea . . . eventually." (Hendrix))
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To: Lorianne
"The United States goes to great lengths to hold back the teeming masses across its southern border."

We do?

7 posted on 04/28/2010 5:05:06 PM PDT by yooling ( FUBO)
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To: LS

lower birth rate for Catholics:

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=e53lJ13Lm2c

(all in good fun!)


8 posted on 04/28/2010 6:00:16 PM PDT by nolongerademocrat ("Before you ask G-d for something, first thank G-d for what you already have." B'rachot 30b)
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To: Lorianne
Higher wages mean that it is easier to afford a decent family home in Houston than in Mexico City.

Especially when that home and living expenses are subsidized by American citizens.

9 posted on 04/28/2010 6:03:32 PM PDT by Moonman62 (The issue of whether cheap labor makes America great should have been settled by the Civil War.)
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To: Lorianne

Sssshhhhh... Pat Buchanan who OF COURSE we all despise on general principals, brought to our attention a really, really, really, really looong time ago that more Mexicans were being born in the good ol USA than south of the border.
Of course one knew that since it wasn’t in the original German it could have been mis translated.
But well, who knew?
Guess it was true.
Even a stopped clock is correct etc.


10 posted on 04/28/2010 6:08:48 PM PDT by nkycincinnatikid
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To: Lorianne

Um, birth rates of Mexicans may be declining in Mexico perhaps because the birth rates of legal and illegal immigrants from south of the border is growing in the U.S.?


11 posted on 04/28/2010 6:36:39 PM PDT by SoldierDad (Proud Papa of two new Army Brats! Congrats to my Soldier son and his wife.)
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