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To: dangerdoc
Spend a few hours reading about the concepts of threshold, lower bounds, multiplications factors and absolute risk. Until the EPA stops torturing the numbers, the politicians have no business regulating.

My favorite is their trick of using zero exposure as a reference point to zero risk. Straight line from zero/zero to an effect level, cut that by a factor of 1000 or more for a safety cushion and you just got yourself a cancer causing chemical in very small doses...

Nobody really looks to see what kind of data supports a 1 in a million risk. They look even less closely at exposure type, duration, etc., that is needed to support a risk level.

Ignorance is grounds for panic, and regulation I guess...

31 posted on 05/09/2010 7:45:41 PM PDT by !1776!
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To: !1776!

Even if you have a real risk of 1/1,000,000 how do you ever sort that out when the background rate is 300,000/1,000,000?

Do you ban a substance that may save lives such as clorinated water. A small amount of organochlorines is produced which may produce a 1/1,000,000 lifetime risk of cancer but has saved millions of lives since its introduction?

It is really a shame that epidemiology is not tought to the vast majority of students.


58 posted on 05/10/2010 5:29:29 AM PDT by dangerdoc
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