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Why Our Poverty Measure Misleads (We don't have a conclusive measure of poverty)
RealClearMarkets ^ | 05/31/2010 | Robert Samuelson

Posted on 05/31/2010 6:50:00 AM PDT by SeekAndFind

Who is poor in America? This is not an easy question to answer, and the Obama administration would make it harder. It's hard because there's no conclusive definition of poverty. Low income matters, though how low is unclear. Poverty is also a mind-set that fosters self-defeating behavior -- bad work habits, family breakdown, out-of-wedlock births and addictions. Finally, poverty results from lousy luck: accidents, job losses, disability.

Despite poverty's messiness, we've tended to measure progress against it by a single statistic, the federal poverty line. It was originally designed in the early 1960s by Mollie Orshansky, an analyst at the Social Security Administration, and became part of Lyndon Johnson's War on Poverty. She took the Agriculture Department's estimated cost for a bare-bones -- but adequate -- diet and multiplied it by three. That figure is adjusted annually for inflation. In 2008, the poverty threshold was $21,834 for a four-member family with two children under 18.

By this measure, we haven't made much progress. Except for recessions, when the poverty rate can rise to 15 percent, it has stayed in a narrow range for decades. In 2007 -- the peak of the last business cycle -- the poverty rate was 12.5 percent; one out of eight Americans was "poor." In 1969, another business cycle peak, the poverty rate was 12.1 percent. But the apparent lack of progress is misleading for two reasons.

(Excerpt) Read more at realclearmarkets.com ...


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Culture/Society; Philosophy
KEYWORDS: measure; poverty
The two reason the author cites are:

1) Our measures tend to ignore immigration, which has increased reported poverty. Many immigrants are poor and low-skilled. From 1989 to 2007, about three-quarters of the increase in the poverty population occurred among Hispanics -- mostly immigrants, their children and grandchildren. The poverty rate for blacks fell during this period, though it was still much too high (24.5 percent in 2007). Poverty "experts" don't dwell on immigration, because it implies that more restrictive policies might reduce U.S. poverty.

2) Our measures ignore the improvement of the material well being of our poor in this country.

The official poverty measure obscures this by counting only pre-tax cash income and ignoring other sources of support. These include the earned-income tax credit (a rebate to low-income workers), food stamps, health insurance (Medicaid), and housing and energy subsidies. Spending by poor households from all sources may be double their reported income, reports a study by Nicholas Eberstadt of the American Enterprise Institute. Although many poor live hand-to-mouth, they've participated in rising living standards. In 2005, 91 percent had microwaves, 79 percent air conditioning and 48 percent cellphones.

NOTE: The Heritage Foundation has an excellent study comparing the poor in the USA with the poor in other countries. After reading it, I have more reason to give thanks to the Lord in Thanksgiving. It is no wonder people are risking their lives to come to this country...

1 posted on 05/31/2010 6:50:01 AM PDT by SeekAndFind
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To: SeekAndFind

Samuelson argues further :

The existing poverty line could be improved by adding some income sources and subtracting some expenses (example: child care). Unfortunately, the administration’s proposal for a “supplemental poverty measure” in 2011 — to complement, not replace, the existing poverty line — goes beyond these changes. The new poverty number would compound public confusion. It also raises questions about whether the statistic is tailored to favor a political agenda.

The “supplemental measure” ties the poverty threshold to what the poorest third of Americans spend on food, housing, clothes and utilities. The actual threshold — not yet calculated — will almost certainly be higher than today’s poverty line. Moreover, the new definition has strange consequences. Suppose that all Americans doubled their incomes tomorrow, and suppose that their spending on food, clothing, housing and utilities also doubled. That would seem to signify less poverty — but not by the new poverty measure. It wouldn’t decline, because the poverty threshold would go up as spending went up. Many Americans would find this weird: People get richer but “poverty” stays stuck.

What produces this outcome is a different view of poverty. The present concept is an absolute one: The poverty threshold reflects the amount estimated to meet basic needs. By contrast, the supplemental measure embraces a relative notion of poverty: People are automatically poor if they’re a given distance from the top, even if their incomes are increasing. The idea is that they suffer psychological deprivation by being far outside the mainstream. The math of this relative definition makes it hard for people at the bottom ever to escape “poverty.”

In other word to paraphrase the words of the late Senator Daniel Patrick Moynihan -— OBAMA IS DEFINING POVERTY UP.


2 posted on 05/31/2010 6:54:55 AM PDT by SeekAndFind
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To: SeekAndFind

It also may be a self-stabilizing number. That is it may be that when people get under the 3x food income number, they make a positive change in their lives because it’s too hard to get by. Above that number they might make changes that make them look poorer like moving out of their grandparents house or having a child.

My point is that the War On Poverty may be chasing its tail.


3 posted on 05/31/2010 6:59:43 AM PDT by MontaniSemperLiberi
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To: MontaniSemperLiberi

Our anchor baby policy is an automatic poverty creator. Crime creator, welfare creator, school teacher creator..etc.


4 posted on 05/31/2010 7:07:55 AM PDT by Oldexpat
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To: SeekAndFind

I have often argued this very same point: The people who receive all the government benefits like food, housing, enrgy, EITC, and in Wisconsin, child care subsidies often are better off than people with higher EARNED income who do not qualify for any of these programs. I know people who go without any health and dental care because they make too much to qualify for medicaid, but too little to be able to afford insurance. These are the people I really feel for.


5 posted on 05/31/2010 7:09:00 AM PDT by Trust but Verify
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To: SeekAndFind

I still refuse to accept a person as being poor when they have a roof over their head, indoor plumbing, air conditioning and heat, refrigeration, cable TV, internet, IPOD, cell phone and a car.


6 posted on 05/31/2010 7:10:07 AM PDT by Go Gordon (Obama - He has nothing to say, but will say it anyway)
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To: SeekAndFind

America’s Poor, two cars, microwave, three tvs, 2 computers, 1/2 motorcycle.

Hey, I remember back in the Jimmy Carter days when my parents worked government jobs and only would buy 2-4 2 liters of soda. This is all they could afford in their budget.

I had a friend who was poor according to Jimmy, had food stamp and everything. I always liked going to my friends house. He had 4 pallets outside his house and we used to sit out there and drink them till the sun went down.


7 posted on 05/31/2010 7:36:52 AM PDT by dila813
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To: Trust but Verify

When I was younger I had a cousin who mirrored exactly that. Hubby and I both worked and had 1 child. My cousin had 4 children and had never worked. She received everything available cash, food stamps, medicaid..... plus she always had a boyfriend living with her as a ‘roommate’ which meant her money wasn’t interfered with plus they had his income. She always had a guy that worked.
She lived in better homes than we did (we owned ours, she always rented), drove better cars than we did, and her kids wore designer names.
At Christmas I would refuse to be around her because it made me feel bad for my kid that a bunch of welfare kids did so much better on presents than ours did.
The problem is those kids of hers all grew up. She now has no assistance of any kind since it was predicated on the children and has no skills to do anything other than work a very low income job. She doesn’t do too well anymore. WE on the other hand are very comfortable.
All those freebies killed her but no freebies motivated us to do better. Imagine that. ;)


8 posted on 05/31/2010 8:03:17 AM PDT by sheana
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To: dila813
But what good is half a motorcycle?

I saw something recently about how a US government agency showed "The Grapes of Wrath" in Russia (I think this was during the Kennedy administration). What the Russians found remarkable was that the Joads owned a car.

9 posted on 05/31/2010 8:08:48 AM PDT by Verginius Rufus
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To: Verginius Rufus

it was an average

actually vcrs were 2.12

they come up with numbers like this all the time in these statistics.

But it was dirt bikes, the poor owned dirt bikes/atvs/snowmobiles etc....


10 posted on 05/31/2010 8:14:27 AM PDT by dila813
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To: SeekAndFind

We have the fattest poor people in the world, and probably the only ones in the world who have gold teeth.


11 posted on 05/31/2010 8:22:49 AM PDT by MissEdie (America went to the polls on 11-4-08 and all we got was a socialist thug and a dottering old fool.)
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To: MissEdie
probably the only ones in the world who have gold teeth.

I thought gold teeth is so 20th century... Do dentists still provide them seeing how much gold costs nowadays per ounce?
12 posted on 05/31/2010 8:49:24 AM PDT by SeekAndFind
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To: sheana

That is a great story, and so true. I’m sure you are proud that everything you have you earned. I just wish that people who needed a LITTLE help here and there could get it, you know?


13 posted on 05/31/2010 3:00:41 PM PDT by Trust but Verify
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To: Go Gordon
"I still refuse to accept a person as being poor"

It's different. Dey B po'. Word.

14 posted on 06/01/2010 7:43:22 AM PDT by Paladin2
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To: SeekAndFind

Dentists don’t use them anymore because of the mercury in the gold amalgam. Resin (plastic) is much cheaper and safer.


15 posted on 06/01/2010 7:43:30 AM PDT by oblomov
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To: SeekAndFind
Liberalism:

Trying to get the government to make more than half of the folks above average.

16 posted on 06/01/2010 7:45:11 AM PDT by Paladin2
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To: SeekAndFind
If we allow huge amounts of immigration, both legal and illegal, to occur then I believe we should include it in the poverty statistics.

We don't ignore the effects that other illegal behaviors have on the poverty level (e.g. drug abuse), so we shouldn't ignore the effects that illegal immigration has either.

That being said, if most illegal immigrants are able to eke out an existence in the US while sending back billions of dollars to their families in Mexico, then they can't be all that bad off.

Here in Los Angeles there are countless grocery stores, markets, shops, bars, and night clubs that would not exist if not for the money they get from patrons who can't speak English, i.e. illegal immigrants. How did so-called poor people generate so much industry wallowing in abject poverty?

17 posted on 06/01/2010 6:09:41 PM PDT by who_would_fardels_bear (These fragments I have shored against my ruins)
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