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Purchase Demand In Freefall. Housing Industry Unraveling
Mortgage News Daily ^ | 06/02/2010 | Adam Quinones

Posted on 06/02/2010 5:09:30 PM PDT by Rational Thought

The Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) today released its Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending May 28, 2010.

"With another week of historically low mortgage rates, the trend from the prior three weeks continued, as refinance applications increased while purchase applications dropped. Purchase applications are now almost 40 percent below their level four weeks ago, while the refinance share, at 74 percent, is at its highest level since December," said Michael Fratantoni, MBA's Vice President of Research and Economics.

The true barometer of the health of housing rests in May housing data..not April. If the recent downtrend in purchase apps holds any clue as to what sort of results we'll see in May, it won't be pretty. Anecdotal evidence is highly supportive of this theory. Heck, besides the drastic decline in purchase demand we've seen, pull-through on refi apps is poor thanks to the vast variety of hoops that must be jumped through before a loan can be cleared to close.

(Excerpt) Read more at mortgagenewsdaily.com ...


TOPICS: Business/Economy
KEYWORDS: economy; housing
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Regardless of the (insulting) optimistic spin put on the overall economy by this Administration and it's Media, here is evidence that Housing is still sinking. As goes Housing, so goes the rest of the economy.

In the meantime, can we here more from Joe Biden on how the Stimulus worked so well?

1 posted on 06/02/2010 5:09:31 PM PDT by Rational Thought
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To: Rational Thought

Probably the market is waiting for the next round of “emergency” stimulus. It’s hard to believe that Congress and the President won’t throw a few more hundred billion $$ on the bonfire.


2 posted on 06/02/2010 5:18:08 PM PDT by glorgau
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To: Rational Thought

The gooberment uses some part of the economy as a recovery talking point and the next day that segment collapses. obama is truly EPIC FAIL!

LLS


3 posted on 06/02/2010 5:22:32 PM PDT by LibLieSlayer ( WOLVERINES!)
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To: Rational Thought

So many “green shoots” should be about mowing time soon


4 posted on 06/02/2010 5:22:59 PM PDT by reefdiver ("Let His day's be few And another takes His office")
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To: Rational Thought
In the meantime, can we here more from Joe Biden on how the Stimulus worked so well?


5 posted on 06/02/2010 5:24:13 PM PDT by Oceander (The Price of Freedom is Eternal Vigilance -- Thos. Jefferson)
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To: Rational Thought

Anyone know the latest rate on a 10yr refi?


6 posted on 06/02/2010 5:24:27 PM PDT by stevio (Crunchy Con - God, guns, guts, and organically grown crunchy nuts.)
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To: Rational Thought

“The true barometer of the health of housing rests in May housing data..not April”

That’s probably an overstatement. The gvt incentives undoubtedly moved May, June, July purchases into April. So May would show a bigger than real decline. April would show a bigger than real increase.


7 posted on 06/02/2010 5:25:13 PM PDT by ModelBreaker
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To: stevio

I don’t know. I am currently doing a 15 yr at 3.875% with 1.25 points.


8 posted on 06/02/2010 5:26:14 PM PDT by Codeflier (Bush, Clinton, Bush, Obama - 4 democrat presidents in a row and counting...)
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To: LibLieSlayer

And I’m trying to buy my first house right now.


9 posted on 06/02/2010 5:30:06 PM PDT by tet68 ( " We would not die in that man's company, that fears his fellowship to die with us...." Henry V.)
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To: Codeflier

That’s good!


10 posted on 06/02/2010 5:33:06 PM PDT by stevio (Crunchy Con - God, guns, guts, and organically grown crunchy nuts.)
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To: Rational Thought

If it is this bad with these interest rates, it is very scary to imagine [much] higher rates. Which are inevitable with the printing presses running as they are. When demand for T bills drops (more), as it will, Treasuries will move up. Significantly. It’s not hard to see 8% on the horizon. Mortgage rates will have to follow.

If these numbers were in a Republican Administration, the press would be howling bloody murder. Hell, the Dems would be calling for resignation.

Anyone noticed how the “homeless” population hasn’t increased by ONE person since Hussein took office?


11 posted on 06/02/2010 5:33:56 PM PDT by ChildOfThe60s (If you can remember the 60s, you weren't really there.)
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To: Rational Thought

I’d love to do a refi right now but with employment so sketchy it isn’t likely to happen. Hmmm I wonder if people’s fear of losing their jobs could be the basis for the housing market slump. Naaah, what am I saying, we’re in a recovery.


12 posted on 06/02/2010 5:35:09 PM PDT by YankeeReb
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To: ModelBreaker
There could be some truth to that. Yet, May and June are usually the seasonally strongest of the year.

In addition, I had read a couple of days ago that 40% of the purchases in April have already canceled.

13 posted on 06/02/2010 5:35:36 PM PDT by Rational Thought
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To: Rational Thought
In the meantime, can we here more from Joe Biden on how the Stimulus worked so well?



All is well! Don't Panic! Don't Panic!! Don't Panic!!! Don't Panic!!!!
14 posted on 06/02/2010 5:36:30 PM PDT by PA Engineer (Liberate America from the occupation media.)
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To: Rational Thought

In nearly every category, the March and April numbers were better than the May information so far. The minute the stock market retreated from its high due to the European mess and the Gulf spill, consumer wallets and purses tightened. I think that the economy won’t completely tank, but there is going to be a good-sized lull at the least.


15 posted on 06/02/2010 5:38:42 PM PDT by qwertypie
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To: tet68

I’ll pray that you are successful.

LLS


16 posted on 06/02/2010 5:39:44 PM PDT by LibLieSlayer ( WOLVERINES!)
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To: tet68

Wait until at least late summer. Prices are still going down and selling prices go down just before school starts back up and into the fall and winter.


17 posted on 06/02/2010 5:39:59 PM PDT by SeaHawkFan
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To: Rational Thought

Obamaman and the Dems continue their destruction of the US...


18 posted on 06/02/2010 5:43:54 PM PDT by billuk1
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To: LibLieSlayer

Thanks, I need all the help I can get.
I didn’t plan very well for my retirement
and have paid untold thousands in rent through
the years, now I want someplace to live out the
time I have left and am forced to do it on VA comp
and SS. I’m looking for a small house with a barn
so I can set up my blacksmith shop again but barns
are hard to come by, especially in my price range.
Now will have to settle for buying a house and
building a shop which at 64 is no small job.
Just praying it all doesn’t fall apart before I
can find a country redoubt.


19 posted on 06/02/2010 5:46:55 PM PDT by tet68 ( " We would not die in that man's company, that fears his fellowship to die with us...." Henry V.)
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To: ChildOfThe60s

“Anyone noticed how the “homeless” population hasn’t increased by ONE person since Hussein took office?”

What homeless population? I haven’t heard anything about any homeless people.

Apparently, once the Messiah took over, they all found homes.


20 posted on 06/02/2010 5:51:25 PM PDT by Nik Naym (It's not my fault... I have compulsive smartass disorder.)
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