But hear me out (hope I can put this down right).
Tin foil first. I believe this administration has "handlers" to the tune of $$$$; not grand conspiracy.
Outside that, this administration has shown time and again to make short sighted decisions and over-bearing with them. I would not be surprised in the slightest if the "strategists" in this administration look at Iran as Carter's failure in America's mind. Blame the Bush Administration for somehow not righting that; then attacking Iran thinking they can score a quick win and show everyone wrong!! w00t!
Only problem is, they make snap decisions and won't complete the task. Iran; as much as we like to dis them; will have a say in this as well. It will spell all sorts of disaster and we'll STILL have Obama at the helm for two more years compounding it. ("IT" being economical, shipping, terrorizing whomever. Bottom line, Iran will make everyone's lives miserable and a butt load of blood will be shed all the while the idiots who started it all will come out physically un-scathed!).