The Drumbeats For War Grow Louder

It has certainly opened my eyes to the cyclical common patterns of history and of generations of people. I found it a fairly academic read with a lot of mind-grinding detail which is necessary to get a complete picture of how their premise works together over a long period of time.

With that said, I'm very glad I've read it and will probably continue to review over it from time to time to refresh my knowledge of their observations and to compare it to current events to see how today lines up with what they expected was coming in '97. I certainly don't think I'll look at our history or in different generations of people the same way again.

ran’s nuclear program is quite open. They are enriching uranium past the point needed for civilian uses. They refused an offer of cheap refined uranium that would be under Russian control. They are openly developing ICBMs.

Nothing would guarantee WWIII more than Iranian nukes. It has already lead to Saudi and Egyptian nuclear programs.
And with multiple nuclear nations in the region, it just Tel Aviv that is toast, NYC and DC are too. It suddenly becomes rational for Iran to nuke us using Hizbollah. They can rationally believe that tracing the bomb would be difficult and given the uncertainties we would not retaliate.
In turn, this would lead to a massive nuclear war.
And putting aside the threat to the US, Iran would gladly use Hizbollah to nuke Israel. This would also lead to theater wide nuclear war.

But the truth is worse. Iran is not a rational country. President Rafsanjani made this clear years ago when he said
“If a day comes when the world of Islam is duly equipped with the arms Israel has in its possession, the strategy of colonialism would face a stalemate because application of an atomic bomb would not leave anything in Israel but the same thing would just produce damages in the Muslim world.”

And this doesn’t even begin to deal with the idea of the Twelvers who think that the Mahdi will come only when the Islamic world is purified by fire. Some of them think a nuclear exchange would be a precursor to their bloody messianic era.

So the issues is not whether war, but when. It is far more moral to act now, when casualties would be low.

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