I have a difficult time believing that one. As disgusting as it may sound, Boucher practically 'owns' that district. I've never seen him win by anything less than 15 points, and that was in 2004. I was happy just to see the GOP even challenge him.
Just anecdotal here, but I HAVE seen LOTS of Griffith signs everywhere, and hardly any Boucher signs. I know this means nothing, because in '04, there were LOTS of Kerry signs(Kerry lost by 30 points in the locality where I saw lots of his signs), but I never recall seeing a challenger to Boucher with lots of signs up. I also saw a Boucher TV add earlier this week. I've NEVER seen him run a Television ad. His TV as was almost a comedy, if not just sad. He was remarking on all of the jobs he has "created". Anyone that has lived here for more than a few years knows that this area has been literally BLEEDING jobs. I saw him in the grocery store not long after he voted FOR Cap & Trade, and I almost yelled at him. lol The ONLY thing he has done is bring home pork since the dems took CONgress, and always manages to get his mug on the newspaper when it happens. Who knows... Maybe Boucher doesn't know how to run a seriously contested race, because he's never had one...
If the republicans can get within single digits in this district, it truly will be a 'wave' type election. If the republicans can get a win out of this district, it will be a Tsunami of epic proportions!
I double-checked, and found a source saying 52-39. That seems unlikely, though, since that leaves only 9% undecided. I’ll definitely see what I can find before I post another thread, probably in a couple of weeks.