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Election 2010: Delaware Senate
Rasmussen Reports ^ | September 6, 2010

Posted on 09/08/2010 7:11:27 AM PDT by Clintonfatigued

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To: fieldmarshaldj

Who were the conservatives with the right profile to win a Senate election in November who were prevented from running for the Senate in DE? We have such a piss-poor bench in the state, I can’t think of any potential candidates (other than Pete du Pont, who is even older than Castle); in IL at least we had Roskam.

Christine O’Donnell is a joke of a candidate. Of course a conservative can win a Senate race in Delaware; but a serial liar with no accomplishments of the sort that makes one think that she could be a U.S. Senator cannot. She should come clean about her past (particularly her campaign spending) and run for the state house or something.


21 posted on 09/08/2010 7:36:41 AM PDT by AuH2ORepublican (If a politician won't protect innocent babies, what makes you think that he'll protect your rights?)
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To: saganite; mac_truck
How about if Castle is the 51st Republican and then goes home, ideologically speaking, by pulling a Jeffords in Jan 2011 and sells his seat to the Dems?

This was a perfectly winnable seat BEFORE the RNC decided to gunk up the works. Rather then mindlessly cheer for a Democrat in everything but name, why don't you supposed "Conservatives" get behind the only real Republican in the race instead?

22 posted on 09/08/2010 7:37:12 AM PDT by MNJohnnie (The problem with Socialism is sooner or later you run out of other people's money. Lady Thatcher)
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To: ilgipper

>>> McCain had a solid lead on Obama at this time in 2008. That seemed to change in the 60 days following

For those of short memory, that was the Wall Street meltdown. A factor outside McCain’s control. No republican could have won after that incident. No democrat would have lost. Game over.

Do you anticipate a similar upheaval in Delaware ?


23 posted on 09/08/2010 7:37:48 AM PDT by tlb
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To: Clintonfatigued
That poll is over a month old. Also if you are going to diss O'Donnell, say why. So those others on the thread can point out the lies & smears.
24 posted on 09/08/2010 7:38:41 AM PDT by faucetman (Just the facts ma'am, just the facts)
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To: MNJohnnie

Since I can’t vote in that election your point is moot. If you’re talking about contributing money, I am but to the politician in my district. And Sharron Angle, both because I think they have a solid chance of winning.


25 posted on 09/08/2010 7:41:06 AM PDT by saganite (What happens to taglines? Is there a termination date?)
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To: faucetman

That poll came out yesterday. In spite of O’Donnell’s troubling issues with telling the truth (for what reason I cannot fathom), we’ve got to stop Castle.


26 posted on 09/08/2010 7:41:11 AM PDT by perfect_rovian_storm (The worst is behind us. Unfortunately it is really well endowed.)
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To: MNJohnnie

>>> 30 days ago, before the multi million RNC directed smear job started, O’Donnel and Coons were tied in this SAME poll.

No they weren’t, and you’ve been corrected on this “misstatement” several times now. The August poll and the September poll are about the same. The July poll was more favorable to o’Donnell, and then the support began to melt away.

She isn’t making up the lost ground, and considering it’s Delaware there isn’t much cause to think she will.

Try being less deceptive.


27 posted on 09/08/2010 7:41:33 AM PDT by tlb
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To: tlb
For those of short memory, that was the Wall Street meltdown. A factor outside McCain’s control. No republican could have won after that incident. No democrat would have lost. Game over. Do you anticipate a similar upheaval in Delaware ?

Actually, those kind of swings are quite common. That is why you cannot compare the polling of Castle/Coons, and O'Donnell/Coons directly: it is mixing apples and oranges. For example, Castle is essentially the incumbent, for him to be below 50% at this stage is a bad sign. It indicates a very vulnerable candidate.

This is made even worse by the fact that his smear campaign is thoroughly alienating the most vibrant and active part of the voting public. Voters who would otherwise hold their noses and vote for him are not going to show up. I know I wouldn't.

A vote for Castle is a vote for the Obama wing of the Republican establishment.
28 posted on 09/08/2010 7:45:57 AM PDT by jjsheridan5
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To: tlb

fascinating topic. Fact: Castle has a 52% rating from the American Conservative Union.


29 posted on 09/08/2010 7:46:03 AM PDT by DIRTYSECRET
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To: tlb
How about if Castle is the 51st Republican and then goes home, ideologically speaking, by pulling a Jeffords in Jan 2011 and sells his seat to the Dems?

Did you people learn nothing from the Specter defection? The Jeffords sell out? The Crist double cross? The Scuzaffaza treason?

This was a perfectly winnable seat BEFORE the RNC decided to gunk up the works. So rather then cling to a single poll that validates your opinions, try actually THINKING about this race for a change.

30 posted on 09/08/2010 7:46:15 AM PDT by MNJohnnie (The problem with Socialism is sooner or later you run out of other people's money. Lady Thatcher)
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To: Clintonfatigued

Mullah Obama remains popular only in places where the GOP has not exposed his anti-American agenda in detail and the repercussions of DeathCare on every single American. The elderly, the disabled, can bend over and kiss their rears goodbye. Exposure, exposure, exposure is what destroys Liberal RATs.


31 posted on 09/08/2010 7:47:52 AM PDT by ExTexasRedhead (Take back our country on November 2, 2010.)
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To: Clintonfatigued

We came home (Baltimore area) from Ocean City on Monday and counted signs just for the heck of it. Traveling US rt. 113 and Del rt. 1.

61 - O’Donnell
16 - Castle

Most of the Castle signs were a little larger and there was one bill-board sized but, 61 to 16. Wow.
Also all but one of the Castle signs were in the northern most county, New Castle.

As an out-of-stater, it looks like O’Donnell has a lot of ground support. We need to win this one and we can. Please donate.

http://christine2010.com/

https://secure.piryx.com/donate/ObyCSaw9/Friends-of-Christine-ODonnell/fresh


32 posted on 09/08/2010 7:49:53 AM PDT by RedMDer (Throw them all out in 2010... Forward with Confidence! Forward!)
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To: MNJohnnie

The problem is that the only real Republican (as opposed to RINO) in the race is a serial liar who has never done anything that would make one think that she could be a U.S. Senator. Am I pissed that the only two candidates are Castle and O’Donnell? Of course. But giving the nomination to O’Donnell will accomplish nothing other than pay for O’Donnell’s back rent and send a liberal Democrat to the Senate for the next 30 years.

Conservatives lost this seat when the filing deadline ended and no conservative with the potential to win a general election ran fo rthe office. We now have to choose between (i) a RINO who will almost certainly win the general but will only vote with us 52% of the time and (ii) a conservative who, to our dismay, would embarass the GOP, set back the cause of conservatism for years and lose by double digits to a liberal Democrat.

Given the lemons we’ve been given, we should be prepared to make some lemonade: hold our noses and elect Castle to the Senate, but elect young conservatives to other offices downballot, and have one (and, hopefully, only one, so as not to split the conservative vote) of those young conservatives run against Castle in the 2014 Senate primary (by which time they would have raised their profile and proven their mettle).


33 posted on 09/08/2010 7:50:28 AM PDT by AuH2ORepublican (If a politician won't protect innocent babies, what makes you think that he'll protect your rights?)
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To: DIRTYSECRET
Fact: Castle has a 52% rating from the American Conservative Union.

His 2009 ACU rating is slightly higher, but that is still at least 40 percentage points better than Biden or his replacement.

34 posted on 09/08/2010 7:52:45 AM PDT by mac_truck ( Aide toi et dieu t aidera)
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To: Clintonfatigued

Don’t believe it. This is just to get Castle the nomination. So the powers that be will have either a democrat or a liberal republican in the seat come November, which is the same thing.

They always say “only a moderate can win.” And then we end up with a close (stealable) election. When a conservative is nominated, they’re unafraid to go after the democrat and they clean their clock.


35 posted on 09/08/2010 7:56:11 AM PDT by cotton1706
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To: screaminsunshine

“Delaware must be a socialist state.”

Yes, it is.

As are states like Massachusetts, Vermont, Connecticut, New York, and Maryland.

Conservatives must realize that there is little hope that states like these can be “turned around” to a solid conservative way of thinking — that simply isn’t going to happen. When the country finally breaks apart at some time in the future, these will become the core of the “new socialist nation”.

These states have “tipped”, politically and in some cases demographically, to a point where the left has a stranglehold on politics and policies. This isn’t to say that conservatives don’t exist there, because O’Donnell’s “surge” is proof that they do.

But, statewide, their influence is so low as to be all-but meaningless in a true statewide election.


36 posted on 09/08/2010 7:58:52 AM PDT by Grumplestiltskin (I may look new, but it's only deja vu!)
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To: faucetman

“That poll is over a month old.”

That poll was completed on September 2, less than a week ago.


37 posted on 09/08/2010 7:59:33 AM PDT by Clintonfatigued (Obama's more worried about Israelis building houses than he is about Islamists building atomic bombs)
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To: AuH2ORepublican

I can’t agree with you here. O’Donnell has at least had the balls to go up against the corrupt DE establishment (a mini-Illinois if there ever was one). It’s thanks to liberal, senile frauds like Castle that the GOP has been on the rapid descent in the state, and I’m not rewarding that by supporting him. I’m more than a little disgusted with the smears of O’Donnell as well. The desperation of the establishment bitterly clinging to power.

BTW, I absolutely believe the rumors that Castle WILL switch parties if he wins (and will apparently resign to allow, yup, Beau Biden to take daddy’s seat). Coons was a desultory opponent fielded by the Dem side so that Castle would “win” while the GOP agreed not to put up any candidates against Biden. Fraud and collusion, and it’s Castle that needs to come clean and tell the truth as to what is REALLY going on here. He’s the real joke.


38 posted on 09/08/2010 7:59:54 AM PDT by fieldmarshaldj (~"This is what happens when you find a stranger in the Amber Lamps !"~~)
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To: mac_truck

The ACU is meaningless since they rate McCain and Gramnesty as conservatives.


39 posted on 09/08/2010 8:12:06 AM PDT by longtermmemmory (VOTE! http://www.senate.gov and http://www.house.gov)
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To: MNJohnnie
45 days ago in this SAME poll you so worship O'Donnell and Coon were tied.

So what we are seeing is public opinion breaking against O'Donnell hard. Not exactly the trend that would make you think she can win...

The fact of the matter is that Delaware is a deep blue state. They are unlikely to send a Tea Party conservative to the Senate. So the question becomes, are you willing to send the most conservative person we are likely to get (Castle) or do you want to make a statement by nominating O'Donnell, realizing that will mean an even more liberal Democrat is elected?

As I have said before, I don't care if Castle is elected or not. This is a Dem seat already, so if another Dem is elected, it does not change the balance of power. But people should keep in mind that policy is made and changed by building coalitions, and not everyone in that coalition is going to agree with you on every issue.

I believe in electing the most conservative person possible in each state/district. In a lot of cases, that means electing someone not as conservative as I would like. But the alternative is ceding the seat to the Dems.

40 posted on 09/08/2010 8:22:13 AM PDT by CA Conservative
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