We’ve been speculating for many months here about an attack on Iran and it hasn’t happened yet. I think pretty much everyone on FR agrees on the necessity of stopping Iran’s nuclear program. From Obama’s perspective, now would be the perfect time since he makes every judgement based on political necessity, not the facts on the ground. Else he would have struck Iran before they fired up their nuclear plant.
I would give good odds that a strike will occur within the month with a lead up consisting of claims by the administration that it’s necessary because Iran has failed to comply with sanctions. I think it’s a done deal.
I think it is needed and I think it was needed years ago but even if...it wouldn’t make me want to vote for a Dimocrat.
“I think it’s a done deal.”
Desperation knows no bounds, but this would be an extraordinarily risky play. In the long run, it may make strategic sense (and as the author notes, is a less miserable option than allowing Iran to acquire nukes), but in the short run, it is likely to precipitate fierce attacks on a) Israel; b) Strait of Hormuz; or c) Iraq, or perhaps all 3.
There’s no guarantee things would shake out by election day and in the meantime, uncertainty about how things will be resolved may make it appear that Obama has threatened the survival of Israel, the reliability of our oil supply or our 7-year investment in Iraq. I doubt the voters would exactly be pleased with any of these prospects. I think it would be seen for the “wag-the-dog” gamble that it is and would result in an even greater backlash against the Dems.