Same thing that bothers me with Republicans celebrating months ahead of the November Elections.
Don't trust polls.... after years you would think we would have learned better.
Look at the poll again.
I think you can relax about fearing that conservatives are ready to call it a day now, and go lay on the couch for the next 2 years.
Polls can be valid. History has shown that there are right ways and wrong ways to go about conducting them. No poll this far out from a general election (twice removed) means anything other than name recognition.
Scott Rasmussen seems to do a pretty good job of it.
A good poll is a reflection of the intent of the people polled during the time the poll was taken. The polls we have now for the coming general election are a decent reflection of what will probably happen, but circumstances change, people change their minds, etc.
What we ("we" as in the people reading poll results) do not do is apply enough weight to how a poll was conducted or who conducted the poll. Just saying XXX poll says YYY is going to win ZZZ% of the vote communicates absolutely nothing.