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To: ansel12
In correct, I like Sarah Palin and would love to vote for her in 2012. I am just saying that like every other poll put out these days, take it with salt and look for a larger picture before you say “LOOK LOOK A LAND SLIDE FOR US!!!! HURAAH !!

Same thing that bothers me with Republicans celebrating months ahead of the November Elections.

Don't trust polls.... after years you would think we would have learned better.

10 posted on 09/16/2010 3:21:12 PM PDT by WyvernAK (Knowledge is Power, ie Obama is in trouble)
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To: WyvernAK

Look at the poll again.

I think you can relax about fearing that conservatives are ready to call it a day now, and go lay on the couch for the next 2 years.


11 posted on 09/16/2010 3:26:47 PM PDT by ansel12 ([fear of Islam.] Once you are paralyzed by fear of Mohammedanism...you have lost the battle.)
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To: WyvernAK
Don't trust polls

Polls can be valid. History has shown that there are right ways and wrong ways to go about conducting them. No poll this far out from a general election (twice removed) means anything other than name recognition.

Scott Rasmussen seems to do a pretty good job of it.

A good poll is a reflection of the intent of the people polled during the time the poll was taken. The polls we have now for the coming general election are a decent reflection of what will probably happen, but circumstances change, people change their minds, etc.

What we ("we" as in the people reading poll results) do not do is apply enough weight to how a poll was conducted or who conducted the poll. Just saying XXX poll says YYY is going to win ZZZ% of the vote communicates absolutely nothing.

18 posted on 09/16/2010 5:08:23 PM PDT by altair (Violence is the last refuge of the incompetent - Salvor Hardin)
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