Posted on 09/17/2010 6:34:43 AM PDT by stillafreemind
Polls are now showing Mariannette Miller-Meeks and Dave Loebsack in a virtual dead heat. Miller-Meeks has a message and it seems to be attracting voters. I don't think this rise is due to just Republican voters. I truly believe that there are Democrat and Independent voters that have listened to Miller-Meeks and decided that she can work for them better than Dave Loebsack.
(Excerpt) Read more at associatedcontent.com ...
Mariannette. Hehehe. The irony is Loebsack is the one with the strings attached.
(Every once in a while, in my head, I hear ALF say, “Har! I kill me.”)
I gotta say that that hit my funny bone this morning..thanks!!
“”TO: MARIANNETTE MILLER-MEEKS
FROM: BRIAN C. TRINGALI, KEVIN HUDAK
RE: RACE FOR CONGRESS TIED IN IOWA’S SECOND CONGRESSIONAL DISTRICT
DATE: SEPTEMBER 15, 2010
______________________________________________________________________________
The Tarrance Group is pleased to present the following findings from our most recent survey of likely voters throughout the Second Congressional District of Iowa. The Tarrance Group was retained by the National Republican Congressional Committee (NRCC) and the Miller-Meeks
campaign for Congress to conduct a telephone survey among N=400 registered “likely” voters in the district. A random sample of this type is likely to yield a margin of error of +4.9%.
Responses to the survey were gathered September 13-14, 2010.
As we look nationwide, Republicans who ran in a tough 2008 cycle but have made the decision to run again are likely to get elected in 2010. Mariannette Miller-Meeks campaign in the Second Congressional District of Iowa is yet another example of the phenomenon. The race for Congress is now within the margin of error and if the election were held today Miller-Meeks would probably be elected.
As with other re-match campaigns, Miller-Meeks is already well known in the district. Indeed, Miller-Meeks has a more positive image ratio than incumbent Democrat David Loebsack. This is before any contrast campaigning has begun.
Image Comparison
Mariannette Miller-Meeks
Aware 78%
Favorable 36%
Unfavorable 17%
Ratio (2.1:1)
David Loebsack
Aware 93%
Favorable 47%
Unfavorable 32%
Ratio (1.5:1)
The best single question to understand how vulnerable an incumbent may be is the re-elect score. Respondents were asked if they think David Loebsack deserves to be re-elected or if it is time to give a new person the chance to do better. Loebsack is below the threshold level of 40% on this measure and more voters are interested in a new person (47%) than want to re-elect him (38%).
The incumbent’s weakness translates directly to the ballot. The race appears to be tied, with Miller-Meeks already at 40% and Loebsack getting little more than his re-elect score at 41%. By definition, this is evidence of a vulnerable incumbent but in the current political environment, these undecided voters are a lot more likely to break for the challenger.
Loebsack Re-elect Score
Deserves re-election 38%
Unsure/depends 15%
New person 47%
US Congress ballot
Miller-Meeks 40%
Loebsack 41%
Sicard 6%
Undecided 13%
# # #””
Her meet-n-greet schedule next week:
Sept 20th, 6:30 PM, Wapello Ambulance Barn, 400 US Hwy 61. Meet-n-greet for the general public.
Sept 21st, 6:30 AM, Winfield Youth Center (across from the Casey’s @ Locust & Ash streets). Morning coffee and donuts, will discuss ag issues.
Sept 23rd, 5:30 PM, Washington Co. GOP HQ, 221 Main St. Meet-n-greet for the general public.
she starts some of her talks by saying
“My name is Mariannette, but I am NOBODY’s puppet.”
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.