[GonzoGOP]

Cool, thanks for crunching the numbers. I guess it is just chalked up to random variability. I had seen all the posts about the weekend effect, and once you expect to see something, it is easy to find data points to back it up (After all 3/7 bumps would be during a weekend in a simple random sample).

The chart has been all over the place as of late. To be honest as long as it stays under -10 I think we are OK.

[Hawthorn]

>> as long as it stays under -10 I think we are OK <<

Probably a decent rule of thumb. But in fact, the situation has long been MUCH better:

The 10-day moving average of the Rasmussen index has been at -10 or lower ever since November 2009. Today it stands at -15.8.

Moreover, if we take Rasmussen’s sample data and weight them by a ten percent “enthusiasm difference” between the pro-Ø and the anti-Ø voters, it appears that the Big Ø’s probable re-elect percentage has hovered right around 40% for the past four months, sometimes down to 39% and sometimes up to 41%.

Let the numbers stay right there. Frankly, I have trouble understanding why so many Freepers continue to whine that the percentages for Big Ø are still too high. The current levels are good enough for me!