Posted on 09/29/2010 6:31:47 AM PDT by DM1
I’m guessing all you’re seeing is a first-time move of Dem money and activities, but I seriously doubt this race is close. I don’t sense anyone on our side here is worried about this or the senate or the SecState races.
Here in Illinois, there are basically two ways to get a pollwatcher credential, either from a county/township party committeeman or directly from a candidate on the ballot.
If I get a pollwatcher credential from my township committeeman it allows me to go into any precinct in the township to observe the activity and remain after the polls are closed until the results are tallied and/or transmitted.
A credential from a candidate allows me to enter any precinct where that candidate is on the ballot.
When I was a Precinct Captain, I would get a pollwatching credential and then come and go throughout the day, bringing the judges donuts in the am and lunch at noon. I was able to review the polling list and determine who had or had not voted, and use that info to get my voters out before the polls closed.
LLS
This time of the election cycle, major sports games on TV skew polling numbers by making conservative tending sports fans into non-responders. This always produces a slight bump up for Democrats across the board. In addition, there are signs that Democratic voters are getting engaged due to their side’s turnout effort.
That's reassuring. I'm not worried about *any* Ohio race this year, which is unusual. Of course, I was cautiously (and mistakenly, as it turns out) optimistic in 2008, so what do I know. :)
“How does poll-watching work, anyway. Who are they and where do “they” come from?”
Well, where I live, if they don’t have enough election judges signed up, the Republican party sends out letters to registered Republicans in the precinct asking for volunteers.
And on the other side, I've only detected enthusiasm by the Dems for the Attorney General race.
I see three to four Kasich ads a night.
Hard to believe that Ohioans would re-elect Strickland after the way he has nickeled and dimed them with tax upon tax upon fee upon tax. But stupider things have happened. Clearly an empty promise that you are going to end the offshoring of jobs can go a long way there. (we’ve got the same sort of thick-headedness here in Pennsyltucky)
They are playing that hard, plus his voting to outsource Invacare jobs.
Kasich wins walking away? No way. As much as folks here thought he is/was a great pick...he isn't. Ohio is in trouble and the two candidates while light years apart are not good for Ohio.
Strickland rolled into office in the ‘Rat tide of 2006 with unemployment around 6%. In about three years, it doubled. It’s been above 10% for a long time. Businesses are leaving the state in droves. the state budget is a mess, facing a shortfall in the billions with no prospect of closing the gap other than Strickland appealing to his bro Obama for another bailout. If the voters of the state choose to re-elect someone with that kind of record, well, they deserve what they get (and I will flee to better climes, like the Carolina beaches).
Of course Invacare now employs more people in Ohio than they did when they decided to open factories in other countries.
Yeah, I think this is one where they have some chance.
Yup. They have all the enthusiasm and Mr. Owens will poll 5% on the Constitution Party line.
Well at least the DeWiner pick made Cordray have to spend all his money on his own race.
You just wrote the winning tv commercial.
it should also feature Failure Ted repeatedly saying Turn Around Ohio.
DeWine is SOOOOO hated by conservatives that it’s still a mystery why he was foisted on us the the elites.
Pollster Lou Harris said Mondale was charging back against Reagan in 1984. Then he said Dukakis had created a “dead heat” against Bush Senior on election day in 1988. He said these things on N.P.R. where he was a commentator at the time. The press just shrugged afterward, when the predictions were wrong. They don't care about the truth, just ideology.
That's what makes it so hard to gauge what really is happening. The press is always telling us the Dems are the greatest thing in the world and super popular, and we never know when the voters are actually buying it until election night.
Money. He has it. He spends it. He bought the slot. More or less.
Also because in Ohio, we haven't had any success throwing off the ruling elites, unlike other states.
As a small business owner, if the business climate does not change here in Ohio, I’m moving on.
The reelection of Strickland would be a clarion call to the ‘producers’ to lay down the plow and jump on the wagon. (We’re becoming just another European welfare state. They have a movement there called, “Why work?”)
This is coming from a person, who saw this coming. I paid attention, became debt free and have weathered this storm well. Because my competition was levered to the gills and was not able to survive a drop in business activity, I could actually expand my business due to that fact. There is a need to fill. But why should I when I’m only to have the reward removed from the extra risk. Yet, I do not see anyone else, with all the unemployed, coming along and filling the need left by the other businesses that failed due to their own imcompetitence.
So here I sit in ‘slow roll’ mode.
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