This is also on your page and it’s interesting to note the different projections. There’s quite a disparity based on the different models but all but one project a Republican takeover.
Republican Pickup Projections
Dick Morris 73
Fred Barnes 60
Unlikely Voter 60
RCP 51
Freedom’s Lighthouse 50
Sabato 47
NYT-Silver 47
Cook 50+
KHR 44
EP 47
Rothenberg 37-45
CQ Politics 36
We Need 39 to Win the House
I’ll guess 92 seats. I think any Republican now polling with 10 points of a dem incumbent still has a chance. Any Republican within 7 points is 50/50 and anyone within 3 points will win. (assuming the polls are likely voters)
In states with the Sarah Palin effect, where a
Republican woman has been demeaned with terms like stupid, crazy, nuts, right wing nutjob, whore, or witch, the polls are totally unreliable. Voters including many women may be “embarrassed” to admit to pollsters they are voting for a woman who has been branded by the MSM as unfit. For this reason I believe that Christine O’Donnell still has a good chance of winning and also that Sharron Angle will win decisively.
Republican Pickup Projections
DontTreadOnMe2010 120
Dick Morris 73
Fred Barnes 60
Unlikely Voter 60
RCP 51
Freedom’s Lighthouse 50
Sabato 47
NYT-Silver 47
Cook 50+
KHR 44
EP 47
Rothenberg 37-45
CQ Politics 36