For one thing, I heard that Buck had a light campaign schedule for several weeks. Maybe he thought he could coast to victory. Now he should know better.
Yeah, we really can't underestimate the opposition here. Everyone should keep in mind that near 50% of the public no longer pays any federal income tax at all - those are Democratic voters and they will keep turning out to keep the gravy train rolling. As the productive people in society become more and more of a minority, we are going to have to make certain to turn out in ever greater numbers to avoid being swamped.