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To: Sun
Dick Morris was telling Hannity the other night that all the polls are greatly underestimating Republican turnout and overestimating Democrat enthusiasm because they are using 2008 election models to predict voter turnout. He predicts that any poll that has a democrat ahead by 10 points or less is essentially a dead heat and he predicts any any poll that has Republicans behind by 7 or less will end up being a republican victory.
16 posted on 10/20/2010 5:42:22 PM PDT by apillar
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To: apillar

“He predicts that any poll that has a democrat ahead by 10 points or less is essentially a dead heat and he predicts any any poll that has Republicans behind by 7 or less will end up being a republican victory.”

I know in my own NY State, Paladino was behind in a poll just before the primary race, and he ended up winning 2 - 1! A number of years ago, Quinniapiac had John Faso 15 points behind in a Comptroller’s race, and while Faso lost, he only lost by 3%.

So many of the polls are liberal or liberal-leaning, imo, we have to know which ones we can trust.

Zogby tries to help Dems in key races, it appears obvious to me. I wonder if Zogby is still around. I don’t hear about Zogby so much lately.


24 posted on 10/20/2010 6:13:06 PM PDT by Sun (Pray that God sends us good leaders. Please say a prayer now.)
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