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To: tatown
It’s not even a likely voter poll.

Yeah, it is.

Poll detail

"...1,582 registered voters... 1,067 likely voters"

20 posted on 10/20/2010 10:55:56 PM PDT by calcowgirl ("In politics the middle way is none at all." -- John Adams)
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To: calcowgirl

The party break down in this poll is 45 Dem 31 Rep, a difference of 14 points.

While that is the party breakdown in California in 2008,
in the last 2 mid-term elections, the party breakdown was a difference of 9.4 in 2002, and 8.2 in 2006.

I seriously doubt the party breakdown this year will be any worse than a +8 or +9 for the Dems.
That means this poll gave the Democrats about 5-6 points more than they should.

Adjust it and you have Boxer/Fiorina in a tie and Whitman right there with Jerry Brown.


28 posted on 10/20/2010 11:27:57 PM PDT by Truthsearcher
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