The real question is if the GOP gets the majority, will Barney want to weather the Fannie Mae/Freddie Mac investigations? Does he want his ex-lover called up to testify before a congressional committee? He may retire suddenly just because he doesn’t want to be a powerless back bencher.
There may be a special election before 2012.
But I am hopeful the Sean can pull it out. Remember the polls did not give Brown a shot either until the day before the election.
I really believe Sean wins. Brown won Barney’s district. There are lot more Bielat signs than Barney signs here in the heart of pinko commie land. I walked with Sean during the Portuguese Feast Parade and that’s a stronghold of Dems, the people were very receptive. Barney will be retired. Many people who aren’t hardcore dems are not voting for Barney. They may be seeing the light.