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Republican Wave Expected in Statehouses
governing.com ^ | October 19, 2010 | Pamela M. Prah

Posted on 10/26/2010 10:33:36 AM PDT by Tennessean4Bush

The last time Republicans controlled a statehouse chamber in Alabama, Ulysses S. Grant was president and Thomas Edison still hadn’t perfected electric lighting.

But if the GOP’s gains are as big as many predict this election, Alabama could be one of many states that will see one or both statehouse chambers go from Democratic blue to Republican red. Democrats currently enjoy a 5-seat advantage in the Alabama Senate and a 15-seat advantage in the Alabama House. However, Tim Storey, an elections expert at the National Conference of State Legislatures, says that hold may not last.

“If Alabama were to move to the GOP column, it would reflect a 20-year trend of Southern legislatures re-aligning under the Republican banner,” Storey says. Democrats have been in power in the Alabama state House since 1870 and the Senate since 1872.

(Excerpt) Read more at governing.com ...


TOPICS: Front Page News; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: redistricting; statehouse; stateraces; statesenate
If you understand how important redistricting is, this article will climb up your "must read" list.
1 posted on 10/26/2010 10:33:38 AM PDT by Tennessean4Bush
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To: Tennessean4Bush
If the 2010 election turns out to be an historic landslide for Republicans at the statehouse and gubernatorial levels, Storey says that the GOP could unilaterally control the drawing of some 165 U.S. House seats compared to only about 30 for Democrats. The rest of the seats would be in states with redistricting commissions or with divided partisan control.

History is not on the Democrats’ side. Going back to 1900, the party of the president lost seats in state legislatures in every midterm except 1934 and 2002, according to NCSL. In the 25 other midterm election years, the party holding the White House lost, on average, 495 state legislative seats. Although the Democrats have gained seats in each of the past three elections, that winning streak will be tough to continue this year. “Winning four election cycles in a row may be a thing of the past,” says Storey.

2 posted on 10/26/2010 10:41:24 AM PDT by Tennessean4Bush (An optimist believes we live in the best of all possible worlds. A pessimist fears this is true.)
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To: Tennessean4Bush

Good news indeed. We need some warriors though—not more RINOS.


3 posted on 10/26/2010 10:41:27 AM PDT by SC_Pete
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To: SC_Pete

People who run at the state level are going to have an enormous effect on drawing the maps of US House districts. The power, and the opportunity to reverse a century or more of Democratic dominance, should not be “misunderestimated” as W might say.


4 posted on 10/26/2010 10:45:43 AM PDT by Tennessean4Bush (An optimist believes we live in the best of all possible worlds. A pessimist fears this is true.)
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To: Tennessean4Bush

” They are particularly eyeing Texas, where they hope to gain a majority in the state House by swinging at least three seats, including a key one in Houston. If that happens, or if Democrat Bill White defeats Republican Rick Perry in the governor’s race, Republicans would be deprived of their lock on political control and its advantage in redrawing the political lines there.”

This explains the lost voting machines and the huge number of fradulent registrations in Houston that have been reported over the past four months here on FR.


5 posted on 10/26/2010 10:46:38 AM PDT by ModelBreaker
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To: Tennessean4Bush

Yes, this could have devastating effect on RAT operations allover the country. Remember the uproar over Tom DeLay in TX? RATS know how to wiled power. Republicans need to push back 180 dgrees. Not 45 degrees, not 75 dgrees; not 90 dgrees—but an equal and opposite REACTION!!!!

Political physics requires more than Orrin Hatch and Mitch McConnell, however.


6 posted on 10/26/2010 10:56:00 AM PDT by SC_Pete
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To: Tennessean4Bush

I bet the number this year is close to 2000 Democrat seats lost. Obama is leading the Democratic party off a cliff that threatens to banish them to minority status in the US House for a generation. This wipeout could not happen at a worse time than the beginning of the decade for the Democrats.


7 posted on 10/26/2010 10:58:22 AM PDT by Tennessean4Bush (An optimist believes we live in the best of all possible worlds. A pessimist fears this is true.)
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To: SC_Pete

In Tennessee, for instance, this will be the first time I can remember that the GOP will control the House, Senate, and Governor. I don’t think it has been that way since the Civil War/Reconstruction. And it happens just in time to re-draw the US House and State House and State Senate districts. If the Pubs merely restore sanity to the drawing of districts, the GOP will dominate for who knows how long (perhaps 50 years). Due to the liberal law that required a minority district to be drawn for the US House, it could be that the minority seat is the only seat the Democrats will hold for a good long while. The GOP in the State House and State Senate should benefit dramatically from redistricting. Right now it is fairly even, after redistricting, it could get awful for the Dems.


8 posted on 10/26/2010 11:07:56 AM PDT by Tennessean4Bush (An optimist believes we live in the best of all possible worlds. A pessimist fears this is true.)
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To: Tennessean4Bush

I should add that the same will go for Alabama.


9 posted on 10/26/2010 11:09:05 AM PDT by Tennessean4Bush (An optimist believes we live in the best of all possible worlds. A pessimist fears this is true.)
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To: SC_Pete

Unfortunately, there will be no good news on this front from California. Apparently more than 50% of the voters profit from state taxation and redistribution. An inpenetrable critical mass of dependency has been achieved. DemocRATS in the legislature will rule at least until bankruptcy of the state is achieved. Let this be a lesson to voters in the other 49 states.


10 posted on 10/26/2010 11:27:56 AM PDT by Sam Clements
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To: Tennessean4Bush

That sounds great. You know Art Laffer moved his whole operation from CA to TN. I plan to do that too: no state income tax and clean lakes. Love TN.


11 posted on 10/26/2010 12:38:05 PM PDT by SC_Pete
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To: Sam Clements

The word from Obama’s tax commission is that they are trying to construct a new bureaucracy that would save CA and NY by redistributing wealth from red states to blue states. There were even Bushies on it. Communism for failed states.


12 posted on 10/26/2010 12:52:36 PM PDT by SC_Pete
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