Enthusiasm and turnout will be key for any race within five points.
More importantly, bad news for the Dims leading up to Tuesday will likely demotivate Dim voters and motivate Republican voters.
A pick up of the WA and WVA seats will give the GOP +10 seats. I expect a takeover of the Senate on Tuesday. 52-48 GOP.
Talk about “enthusiasm” and “peaking” I think that as the tsunami of turnout numbers and results come pouring in from the east coast westward, the Dims will be extremely depressed and in “don’t give a damn” mode while the polls are still open in Calif. and Wash. This could give both Fiorina and Rossi the edge they need. Expect the lamestream mediots to paint as rosy of a picture as possible during the day Tuesday in order to help Calif and Wash Dems. If it were reversed, they would do everything to depress the Republican vote.
With that being said, Washington largely a vote by mail state and a lot of the ballots have probably already been cast. I’m not sure the percentage of voters that are mail-in vs. non mail-in but I know that I actually walk in and cast a vote on election day.
“A lot of this “Republican peaking” is really just the pollsters adjusting their polls to reality.”
Right. But with even the RAT press like the NYSlimes starting to face reality, it will help produce an even greater peak. Kind of like when the RAT press ignored the ACORN scandal - eventually they *had* to go in when the force of the truth was so great that they were simply looking juvenile ignoring it. They were embarassed and shamed into stopping their cover up, as much as they tried and as clear as their agenda by silence was.
This effect helped to bring the ACORN stories impact to such an extent that the Congress had to defund it just to save face. (Now we know that ACORN is morphing into all kinds of other pernicious forces again aligned with socialists and taking on another life.)
Now the NYSlimes, CBS and others are having to finally admit to reality (that is despite their continous slamming of the Tea Parties, Palin, et al) and the force of the RATs propaganda arm being shamed into reality to ‘save face’ will cause an even greater impact among independents who will go to the polls wanting to vote with the winners, wanting to be in the wave and not swept away by it.
This is one of the last gasps of the old dying media’s impact - that is when they are hoisted on their own petard by willfully ignoring the truth. Once they do fall, the fall is hard and LOUD.