This poll, released today, is LePages best poll yet. The outcome was never really in doubt. The reason I'm posting about this not too interesting race is to show one graph, which might help people understand a little bit about that "tsunami" effect that people are talking about. The "enthusiasm gap".
The tea party Republican, LePage, has an overwhelming number of supporters who are more enthusiastic compared to the 2 challengers. 70% more enthusiastic, compared to 40% for the other 2.
Let's assume that only the "more enthusiastic" voters vote. Call it "turnout". 70% Republican turnout - 40% Democrat turnout.
Call it a huge huge blowout.
Is this type of enthusiasm gap showing up everywhere?
Because 70/40 R/D is pretty huge.
********************
40 x .70 - 28 - .5357
21 x .40 - 8.4 - .1875
21 x .40 - 8.4 - .1875
28 + 8.4 + 8.4 = 44.8
54 Lepage, 19 Mitchell, 19 Cutler
Totals not 100%, undecided, minor candidates.
Just look what the "enthusiasm gap" 70/40 did to the numbers.
I helped put up yard signs and pass out literature for two candidates running for office in Bangor and the Ellsworth area. I even drove through Blue Hill and Mount Desert Island. Republican signs everywhere-outnumbering Demorats 2-1 and even 3 and 4 to 1. Drove to Portland today and saw relatively few signs for Democrats at least compared to previous years.
I will be reporting some of the results on election night.
The Republicans may take the Maine Senate. I understand some internal polls show MOONBAT Libby Mitchell, Demorat, coming in third.