Check the tabs on the Time/CNN poll. Harry carried the under 35 demographic, and that group was underrepresented.
http://i2.cdn.turner.com/cnn/2010/images/10/27/topstate8.pdf
Regarding the issues with the polling, there’s a good article in today’s Las Vegas Sun
http://www.lasvegassun.com/news/2010/nov/04/review-journal-flunks-when-it-comes-polls-republic/
Again, I cannot emphasize this enough. The polls excluded cell phones, underrepresented Latinos, and filtered likely voters.
The majority of us under 35 in Las Vegas don’t have land lines, we only use cells. Latinos are hesitant to respond to political surveys. Finally, the union GOTV reached 200,000 registered voters, many of whom would not be considered “likely.”
Leaving aside the debate about the candidate, the issues with the local news stations in Las Vegas occurred on 10/29 AFTER all but the Rasmussen & PPP polls.
http://www.8newsnow.com/story/13412483/sharron-angle-asked-tough-policy-questions
This incident, occurring the final weekend before the election, was the dealbreaker.
I could be wrong, but a good indicator that something went sideways for Angle individually is the results from Washoe County, her home turf. Dean Heller (R-CD2) carried Washoe County with 80,000 votes and won his race. Angle only pulled 63,000. Again, more evidence of ticket splitting as opposed to fraud.
http://www.silverstate2010.com/Counties/washoe.aspx
http://www.lvrj.com/news/nevadans-declare-independence-strengthening-gop-while-keeping-democratic—leader-106674698.html
Of course everyone is entitled to their opinions; however, I think a reasonable person would look at all of the facts and conclude Angle got beat by her own negatives and a better organized campaign.
The "enlightened" youngsters would not then be represented.
To support this theory, however... I wonder if it is the case that an unusually high number of people in NV have no representation. And I'm wondering why the Republican for governor received 60,000 more votes than Angle. I'm also wondering why the senate race received 18,131 more votes than the race for governor. I can understand a large block not voting on an obscure and highly obfuscated state measure, but usually those voting for one high-profile office en masse would vote for the other ones as well.
Just questions.