I call BS. One can not explain the result in any way other thna fraud. Aparently most are unwilling to say so, but how else do you go from “up 4%” to a 6% loss in ONE DAY. With SEIU running the machines there is no doubt what occurred in Nevada and why the GOP lets it pass is beyond me. The FIRST investigation the New House needs to begin is into this election. IMHO
Why do people keep insisting that polls are always perfectly accurate representations of what voters will do?
Polls are only as good as their turnout models, and the exit polls show that the turnout model in nevada was wrong (except one republican pollster who seems to have gotten it right).
Nevada was one of those places where people inclined to vote for Reid turned out in higher numbers than expected. Some of this I believe was because we had an hispanic candidate running for Governor, which made hispanics more enthusiastic about voting; some was because of a solid push to get mostly-democrat union workers out.
In a state that tends democrat, the key is to say things that discourage your opponent's voters from showing up, while not turning off your own voters.
Angle somehow managed to spend too much time revving up her opponent's voters, and making the independents less interested in supporting her.