I hope she will be able to hold this seat, but I doubt it.
It depends in part on redistricting. Incidentally, Republicans now have control of the redistricting process in the state.
North Carolina is being redistricted by Republicans instead of Democrats (for the first time in like a million years) between now and the next election.
We shall see.
This district voted for Bush by 8 in 2000 and 10 in 2004, but it did elect Obama by 5. If the GOP presidential candidate runs strong in NC in 2010, Ellmers should be fine. But she has to prove herself.
Both houses of the NC legislature went Republican for the first time sine 1898, 112 years ago.
Redistricting takes place in 2011. The governor has no say in the redistricting process in NC.
Similar wins in PA, ME, MI, IN, WI, MI, NM, MT, SC, IA, NH, etc., etc., prior to a redistricting year, are what makes this the biggest electoral win by conservatives of the past century, perhaps in forever.
Everyone who is downplaying the significance of this 2010 midterm election, the huge loss this represents for the Democrats, and the huge win this was for Sarah Palin, are propagandists for either Romney or for the Democrats, or both.