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To: upchuck
I suspect the actual rate is much higher than 9.8%

The real unemployment rate is probably around 22.5% or 23%.

This is very significant. The "official" unemployment uses U3 data, which is totally wrong. If they used the same criteria they used during the Great Depression (when unemployment was 25%), and compared the same numbers today, the public would be told the truth - we are in a Depression.

54 posted on 12/03/2010 7:08:14 AM PST by SkyPilot
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To: SkyPilot

I think you are overstating the bad news, which need not be overstated to be really bad.

The SGS Alternate, which is the only number that approaches your 22.5% unemployment, includes “SGS-estimated long-term discouraged workers.” So, there is little or no data to support the addition to the U-6 number. More importantly, it is not at all clear that “long-term discouraged workers” means much more than slackers who have found a way to live without working. Such folks may be unproductive and may even be leeches, but not because of the economy.

I suggest sticking with the U-6 number. It is horrible, and using it avoids the plausible charge of overstating unemployment for political purposes. No exaggeration is needed to demonstrate that Obama is a Category 5 disaster.


65 posted on 12/03/2010 7:30:49 AM PST by olrtex
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To: SkyPilot
This is very significant. The "official" unemployment uses U3 data, which is totally wrong. If they used the same criteria they used during the Great Depression (when unemployment was 25%), and compared the same numbers today, the public would be told the truth - we are in a Depression.

Indeed.

The only difference is that the MSM cannot report the real number of jobless because there are no soup lines today.....UB are the modern equivalent of the soup lines.
100 posted on 12/03/2010 10:02:45 AM PST by Red in Blue PA (Planning on using 911? Google "Brittany Zimmerman")
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