It’s hard to make the argument that Christine would’ve won.
But it’s also important to remember that Christine did better with whites than Linda McMahon did in Connecticut. There are a lot of blacks in Delaware, a lot of Democrats in Delaware. And this time around, a lot of black women voted (14% of the total was black women) and 95% of black women voted for Coons.
The most important thing to remember is that the national media spent a ton of time attacking Christine. When they were attacking Christine, it is true that it made it very hard for Christine to win, but they were not attacking other conservatives, conservativism in general, the republican brand, or building the Democrat brand. They were making sure that one specific candidate that scared them the most didn’t win.
The proof is in the pudding, and we did extremely well in the House.
Christine is out, Castle is out, and the Republicans have a solid majority in the House. That’s a great deal.
For the best outcomes, repeat with as many Christines as possible.
She always had an uphill battle. I think most of us regarded DE as hopeless. I thought COD ran an excellent campaign, and as you said, did better than McMahon among white folks.
And McMahon did not run a poor campaign, CT was competitive all the way through.
Christine did as well as any Senate Republican Candidate in DE since Roth. Clatworthy earned about 40 percent. Ting was a disaster. She improved 5 points over her run against Biden.