Posted on 01/22/2011 3:19:41 PM PST by Brices Crossroads
Ping!
Please ping our other friend. I am really bad with screen names.
Interesting analysis. Thanks!
Request ping!
Open primary or semi-open primary...whatever you care to call it.
It’s a closed primary. (Don’t know if that will change) According to the Magellan Poll half of the Independents have a favorable view of her though. It is an anti-tax libertarian state. I think she can get a nice slice of the indies, so the open primary doesn’t concern me.
Ayotte and Lamongtagne, both prolife conservatives finished first and second in the Senate Primary, so the GOP electorate isn’t as liberal as the media suggests.
Mitt=Chameleon. And people know it. It is why he is imploding.
Thank you! Woo-Hoo!
No Sinunu.
I was going to something similar, earlier. As a former governor of Massachusetts and an inhabitant of Vermont, who has been campaigning non-stop, Romney practically owns the state of New Hampshire. He is the Great RINO among the contenders, and naturally the more conservative candidates split the conservative vote. I’m sure that the Paulites have also been working hard, and they’ve gotten him into second place.
But this is about as high as either of them are going to go. 35% is not enough to win the state. And Paul will fade because he appeals only to fanatical Paulites.
The same thing happened last time, in 2008. Romney was top of the heap, at around 20%, but he proved unable to go any higher. Is he likely to do better now, when more people have seen through him? I seriously doubt it. What’s he going to run on? His success in bringing the Olympics to Salt Lake City? That’s getting pretty old. His stint as goernor of Massachusetts? Gay marriage and Romneycare were his two chief accomplishments.
No, I think he has peaked already.
Unlike most other states, New Hampshire permits voters that have not declared their party affiliation to vote in a party's primary. A voter does have to officially join one party or the other before voting; however the voter can change his or her affiliation back to "Undeclared" immediately after voting, and hence he or she only has to belong to a party for the few minutes it takes to fill out and cast a ballot. Voters who are already a member of one party or the other cannot change their affiliation at the polling place: that can only be done before the checklist is closed several weeks prior to the election. New voters can, however, register at the polling place.[1] All voting is done with paper ballots; however, most of the paper ballots are counted by machine.
You can certainly see how the opportunities for 'shenanigans' abound with this system...explains all those cars with Maine, Vermont, and Massachusetts plates at the polling places in primary day...
Aargh. I’m getting ready to go out, but read the post.
I was going to SAY something similar, earlier. As a former governor of Massachusetts and an inhabitant of NEW HAMPSHIRE.
I don’t even know why we even give such weight to a minor state like New Hampshire to begin with!
Yes. Hillary bussed in a ton of people from Massachusetts to vote for her the last time. The system is easy to game. Deliberately so, apparently. The RINOs like it that way, I think.
Property taxes are among the highest in the nation...they also kill you on tolls and 'town taxes' when you register your car. They get you...one way or another.
Thanks for the analysis Brices. Very informative.
As I said the last couple of times around, the RNC and the DC pros have decided they want it this way.
In fairness, New Hampshire used to be a decent, conservative state. But it has morphed into something very different. And the RNC seems determined to ensure that the primary system remains front loaded with crossover states and liberal states.
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