Excellent points. I remember ‘92 well, no one thought Clinton would get anywhere near the WH. Look at McCain in December and January 2008, would anyone have thought he would be the nominee?
Every two years before an Presidential election, folks on both sides of the aisle hyperventilate on poling data which never predicted any outcome on the primaries or general election - some here on FR feed and live off of these polls and there is nothing you can do to convince them otherwise!
Look at Huckabee, He is leading in a lot of polls but no one is pouring money into his PAC to support him - How can that be? Wouldn’t more people who favor him as the nominee be more likely to give money for his cause? No, his name is a placeholder for many people who may haven’t engaged in the process of seriously looking over candidates yet but who are told Sarah can’t win (both are vying for the same voter)
Sarah on the meanwhile is dumped in the polls but has amassed a record breaking number of small donations that is wide and deep....polls are meaningless