Of course we shouldn’t get over confident, but check out my break down in post #24... I think I make a compelling case.
I think Governor Palin is in way better shape than many think.
Of course it will still be a hard fought battle, but Palin supporters need to remain confident,(the biggest problem is staying positive with all the endless smears and derision) she is in the pole position and perfectly aligned to win it all.
I think Huckabee is the fulcrum. If he runs, things get a lot tougher. He is very strong in IA. Very strong. And as southerner, he will be very tough in SC. If he doesn’t run, things get quite a bit easier. Also, if people like Demint or Bachmann run that could complicate things.
I think if she runs her campaign will go one of two ways. Either she’ll do very well and romp. Or, things will go very badly. I don’t really see a lot of in between.