Posted on 02/16/2011 7:14:07 AM PST by Kaslin
So what happens if the cuts proposed by House Budget Committee Chairman Paul Ryan, R-Wis., and House Appropriations Committee Chairman Hal Rogers, R-Ky., prove unacceptable to the Senate and the president? What if there is no compromise? What if nobody gives in?
A budget deadlock, played out over months, will doom President Obama and assure his defeat. But an easily won compromise will help him get re-elected.
The central question in Obama's bid for a second term is: Will the issues that doomed his party in 2010 still be the key questions in 2012? If they are, we already know how the election will come out. If they are not, Obama can win.
When the president says he does not "want to re-fight the battles of the past two years," he means that he embraces this reality. He doesn't want Obamacare, high spending, huge deficits, cap and trade, card check and the like to be the items of discussion in the 2012 election.
But he has failed to put forward a compelling agenda for the next two years. That was the essential defect of his State of the Union speech. Nobody is going to storm any barricades for high-speed rail and more R&D spending.
If the Republicans hold firm in demanding huge spending cuts and Obama does not give in, the question of whether or not to cut spending will dominate the nation's political discourse for months on end and will spill over into the 2012 election.
To assure that it will, the Republicans should hold firm to their budget spending cuts without surrender or compromise. If necessary, it is OK to vote a few very short term continuing resolutions to keep the government open for a few weeks at a time, always keeping on the pressure.
hen the debt limit vote comes up, they should refuse to allow an increase without huge cuts in spending. If the debt limit deadline passes, they should force the administration to scramble to cobble together enough money to operate for weeks at a time.
If Obama offers a half a loaf, the GOP should spurn it for weeks and months. Then, rather than actually shut down the government, let them accept some variant of their proposed cuts but only give in return a few more weeks time, at which point the issue will be re-litigated. Don't go for Armageddon. Just keep fighting the battle.
Same with the debt limit. Extend it for a few hundred billion dollars and then go back for more cuts in return for a further extension. Make Obama pay for each continuing resolution and each debt limit hike with more cuts to spending.
Always avoid cuts in Medicare and Social Security. Save those for after 2012. For now, focus on Medicaid block granting and discretionary spending (including some modest cuts in defense).
Like a guerilla army, never go to a shutdown (a general engagement), but keep coming up with cuts, compromising, letting the government stay open for a few more weeks, letting the debt limit rise a few hundred billion, and then come back for more cuts and repeat the cycle.
And don't just demand spending cuts. Go for defunding of Obamacare, blocking the EPA from carbon taxation and regulation, a ban on card check unionization, and constraints on the FCC's regulation of the Internet and talk radio. Put those items on the table each time, each session.
Every time the issues come up, every time the cuts are litigated, Obama's efforts to appear to be a centrist will be frustrated. Time and again, he will have to oppose spending cuts. Over and over, he will come across as the liberal he is, battling for each dime and opposing any defunding.
Obama's campaign strategy has two elements: Change the subject from the 09-10 agenda, and move to the center. A tough, determined Republican budget offensive, embracing all these elements and fought in this guerilla style, will frustrate both and lead to his defeat.
The GOP members of the POG will be eager to save Hussein — expect them to compromise.
“Every time the issues come up, every time the cuts are litigated, Obama’s efforts to appear to be a centrist will be frustrated. Time and again, he will have to oppose spending cuts. Over and over, he will come across as the liberal he is, battling for each dime and opposing any defunding.”
Spot on.
Worth keeping up on at his website:
http://www.hughhewitt.com or through his 3-6 pm (PST) radio show.
Make the ‘rats twist in the wind.
If they throw him a ring it means there really is no second party.
I hate to say this but the way thing s are shaping up those stupid candy A$$ republicans are going to save the Messiah.
I don’t often have much use for Dick Morris, but he’s right on point in this article. It remains to be seen whether the Republicans in the Congress can handle the heat.
Colonel, USAFR
What’s to prevent Obama from doing an end run and directing the Treasury to just print more money? Am I missing something? Who controls the printing presses?
In my opinion, any compromise with Obama is like compromising with Hitler after he invaded Poland.
I dunno. I think Obama could give the GOP all it wants... a paltry extra $100B per year, and still have a government redistribution machine enormously enlarged from what it was in 2008. The GOP cuts aren’t drastic anywhere except in the Washington Post editorial pages.
Then deadlock it, dammit!
Dear Republicans,
It's called a "counterattack". Look it up.
Love,
L
Indeed
Many freepers don’t realize the US is already cooked. Even if Palin is POTUS, she and anyone else is not the experts on banking. They will rely on US Treasury and Fed Reserve for advice. They will simply tell him or her that the US is deep in debt, and unable to pay it off unless the US inflate their way out. Alternative is severe austerity with social collapse. Conservative POTUS might adjust the plan one way and a liberal POTUS will adjust it another way, but in the end bailouts and more printing of the US dollar will occur. Even a leftist like Obama could not put the bankers in jail or avoid hiring the unemployed Wall Street types at 100K+ into federal service to manage the mess because no one else in America has the expertise.
The only thing we can do is take care of our family and build a financial lifeboat for the turbulent times ahead.
WI is the first state to test severe austerity on its state workers and teachers. The gov anticipate violence so he has the National Guard on notice and huge layoffs planned. Public unions are not going to take this laying down and its workers are not emotionally nor psychologically ready for what is about to happen. We may enter a period of labor unrest, violence and disruption of services.
Those who laugh at preppers still have limited time to prepare. Right now, a firearm plus ample ammo to protect your family, food stockpile for family and extra for immediate family who will show up on your door step for atleast one month, six to twelve months preferred. Put aside one week of spending cash in case the banking system/ATM is disrupted or blocked off by rioting. Precious metals and hard assets once food and self protection is attained to protect your family against high inflation. Read up on what happened in Argentina, Soviet Union, Serbia and Zimbawe when the gov and fiat currency collapsed. Time is running out.
So far, the congressional Repubs show no backbone. Why should that change?
“What’s to prevent Obama from doing an end run and directing the Treasury to just print more money? Am I missing something? Who controls the printing presses?”
I know what I would do in that case. What would you suggest?
“Many freepers don’t realize the US is already cooked. Even if Palin is POTUS, she and anyone else is not the experts on banking. They will rely on US Treasury and Fed Reserve for advice. They will simply tell him or her that the US is deep in debt, and unable to pay it off unless the US inflate their way out.”
That’s a bit short-sided, IMHO. What if a President Palin appointed Ron Paul as Treasury secretary?
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