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Big California quake likely to devastate state. Next powerful quake probably within 30 years.
Reuters ^ | 03/15/2011 | Peter Henderson

Posted on 03/15/2011 7:29:56 AM PDT by SeekAndFind

California will experience unthinkable damage when the next powerful quake strikes, probably within 30 years, even though the state prides itself on being on the leading edge of earthquake science.

Modern skyscrapers built to the state's now-rigorous building codes might ride out the big jolt that experts say is all but inevitable, but the surviving buildings will tower over a carpet of rubble from older structures that have collapsed.

Hot desert winds could fan fires that quakes inevitably cause, overwhelming fire departments, even as ancient water pipelines burst, engineers and architects say.

Part of the lesson from the disaster that hit Japan on Friday is that no amount of preparation can fully protect a region such as California that sits on top of fault lines.

Even so, critics fear the state may have long skimped on retrofitting older buildings. Yet the cost of cleaning up after a big quake is likely to be much higher than the cost of even the most expensive prevention, they warn.

"Everybody is playing a gamble that something like this won't happen," said Dana Buntrock, associate professor of architecture, at the University of California, Berkeley.

Buntrock, like many others, sees California's past as a present danger. The university is spending more than $300 million to retrofit and renovate its ancient sports stadium, tucked into the hills overlooking the bay.

"There are places where two walls that were aligned in the 1920s have moved a half meter apart," she said.

But the steps that the school is taking are not as common in California as the overwhelming risks might suggest.

The concrete high-rises that rose in the years after the 1906 San Francisco earthquake were made without adequate reinforcing steel,

(Excerpt) Read more at reuters.com ...


TOPICS: Culture/Society; Japan; News/Current Events; US: California
KEYWORDS: california; earthquake; tsunami
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1 posted on 03/15/2011 7:29:59 AM PDT by SeekAndFind
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To: SeekAndFind

Doesn’t matter.

It’s all supposed to end next year anyway!/s


2 posted on 03/15/2011 7:31:30 AM PDT by Bigh4u2 (Denial is the first requirement to be a liberal)
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To: SeekAndFind

Complete first aid kit.

Camping gear.

Store what you eat and eat what you store.

One gallon of water per person per day for at least two weeks.


3 posted on 03/15/2011 7:32:57 AM PDT by BenLurkin (This post is not a statement of fact. It is merely a personal opinion -- or humor -- or both)
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To: SeekAndFind

Thanks, Reuters, but my cat could have predicted a quake will hit CA.


4 posted on 03/15/2011 7:33:47 AM PDT by bgill (Kenyan Parliament - how could a man born in Kenya who is not even a native American become the POTUS)
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To: SeekAndFind

Oooh, oooh, and when Charlie Sheen has his next meltdown, y’know, like he crashes his car into something, that’ll be the start of the new era in television and GDP will come screeching to halt while everyone watches to see if his next show is like, y’know, cool.


5 posted on 03/15/2011 7:35:32 AM PDT by Attention Surplus Disorder (Which has more wrinkles? Helen Thomas' face or Lawrence O'Donnells' panties?)
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Comment #6 Removed by Moderator

To: SeekAndFind

Some news outlets might sit on such explosive information for fear of creating a panic. I applaud Reuters for their courage in bringing this important, hard-hitting information to light before millions die.

Bravo, Reuters. Bravo.


7 posted on 03/15/2011 7:42:32 AM PDT by WhistlingPastTheGraveyard (Some men just want to watch the world burn.)
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To: SeekAndFind

Reuters article.

Read with caution.


8 posted on 03/15/2011 7:45:12 AM PDT by kidd
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To: WhistlingPastTheGraveyard

Keep all the libs there, don’t tell them about any dangers, PLEASE.


9 posted on 03/15/2011 7:48:06 AM PDT by Mouton (Government expands to fill any voids in freedom.)
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To: Mouton

The sky IS falling. To the basement for the duration. There COULD be an earthquake in my back yard and dinosaurs COULD emerge to eat me. OMG!


10 posted on 03/15/2011 7:54:06 AM PDT by hal ogen (1st amendment or reeducation camp?)
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To: SeekAndFind

My guess is less than 30. Much less. Let’s see, massive earthquakes in Chile, New Zealand, and Japan. We need just one more corner to complete the Pacific Rim.


11 posted on 03/15/2011 7:54:40 AM PDT by scotts8826
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To: Bigh4u2
It’s all supposed to end next year anyway!/s

That'll depend on whether Obummer is reelected.

12 posted on 03/15/2011 7:54:54 AM PDT by Bernard Marx
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To: hal ogen

Don’t laugh. Yesterday, I overheard two people at the post office contemplating the coming Great Quake that will obliterate our local nuclear power plant, kill us all and make our county uninhabitable.

This was in suburban Philadelphia.

I sh*t you not.


13 posted on 03/15/2011 8:03:11 AM PDT by WhistlingPastTheGraveyard (Some men just want to watch the world burn.)
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To: scotts8826

The two pre-existing nuclear plants that are in significant earthquake zones are Diablo Canyon (PCG) near San Luis Obispo north of Santa Barbara, and San Onofre (EIX) between San Diego and Los Angeles.

WE HAVE TO KEEP A CLOSE EYE ON THESE TWO ESPECIALLY.


14 posted on 03/15/2011 8:14:20 AM PDT by SeekAndFind
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To: SeekAndFind

I heard someone say that there was a “46% that the next quale would occur within 30 years”.

I also heard that 38.7% of all “statistics” are made up on the spot. Just like this one.


15 posted on 03/15/2011 8:15:36 AM PDT by Blood of Tyrants (Islam is the religion of Satan and Mohammed was his minion.)
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To: SeekAndFind

I heard someone say that there was a “46% that the next quake would occur within 30 years”.

I also heard that 38.7% of all “statistics” are made up on the spot. Just like this one.


16 posted on 03/15/2011 8:15:43 AM PDT by Blood of Tyrants (Islam is the religion of Satan and Mohammed was his minion.)
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To: Blood of Tyrants

I knew a statistician who drowned in a river whose average was 1 inch deep, such a tragedy ...


17 posted on 03/15/2011 8:16:54 AM PDT by Scythian
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To: Bigh4u2

Or sooner...


18 posted on 03/15/2011 8:17:39 AM PDT by Russ (Repeal the 17th amendment)
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To: Russ

Oh Yeah..

Forgot about May 21st!

:0)


19 posted on 03/15/2011 8:22:56 AM PDT by Bigh4u2 (Denial is the first requirement to be a liberal)
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To: Mouton

But my daughter wants me to go on a trip with her to CA next year! Nooooo! I want to stay in OK and take my chances with tornadoes.


20 posted on 03/15/2011 8:26:04 AM PDT by Pining_4_TX
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