[oblomov]

Why would this be a black swan? A “black swan”, in Taleb’s nomenclature, is an exceedingly rare event that almost no one expects or plans for.

[bluefish]

True, silver moves on black swan events, it isn’t a black swan in and of itself. Further, on the link I posted, most of those events are not really black swans.

The Japanese Earthquake would be a black swan. The markets just seemed to shrug that off. The endless printing is not really a black swan. Will the markets continue to shrug that off (or eat it up, as the case seems to be)?

[blam]

"Why would this be a black swan? A “black swan”, in Taleb’s nomenclature, is an exceedingly rare event that almost no one expects or plans for."

I wondered the same.

I think 'Black Swan' is being over used these days just as 'Paradigm Shift' was a few years ago.