I think that the odds are 50/50 that Akin will run. The boundries of his district have been changed. If it is safely Republican, than the TEA Party needs to get involved. We need the most conservative candidate we can get, one who isn’t overly establishment.
Gov. Jay Nixon (D) vetoed the new map, but the veto has been overridden. It required some Democrat help.
Clay and Carnahan (both D) are in the same district. Akin does get some of Carnahan’s old territory in St. Louis County and a small piece of Jefferson, plus parts of St. Charles and Franklin previously in the 9th. Overall it looks to be a Republican seat.
Maybe there was a deal to vacate the seat in exchange for the override?