[AuH2ORepublican]

I was about to say the same thing.

But if Allen is tied with Kaine at 46% among registered voters, Allen’s probably up by only like 49%-43% among likely voters. Allen can’t afford to get cocky in this race.

[AuH2ORepublican]

I just saw that the Washington Post used the same sample of registered voters for its Allen-Kaine poll as for its presidential-race poll that (risibly) has Obama thumping all Republican candidates: http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-srv/politics/polls/postpoll_050042011_MON.html

So, among likely voters, Allen is probably up by more than the 6% I estimated.