The 2010 election results were
CON 36
LAB 29
LIB 23
The last 3 polls
CON 38
LAB 40
LIB 9
CON 38
LAB 42
LIB 8
CON 37
LAB 39
LIB 11
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Opinion_polling_for_the_next_United_Kingdom_general_election
They lost seats in the recent local elections to both other parties especially Labour (they lost about 750 local councilors in total) and they did piss poor in the Scottish election losing every district they had (they still have seats cause they use the mixed member system) and fell to 4th place behind DJ’s distant cousin’s Tories. (you may have heard DJ, she’s stepping down as Leader).
The last time they got under 10% in a Westminster election was 1970 (as the Liberal Party more than a decade before the alliance with with the brakeaway faction of Labour). They won 6 seats that year.
If the election were held today they’d be decimated.
Wow. Truly remarkable polls—all three show the Tories staying in the very high 30s, Labour moving a few points ahead, and the Lib Dems dropping to high single digits. With strategic voting, I would assume that Labour would win an outright majority if the elections were held today. Thankfully, the Tories have until May 2015 to turn this around.